Understanding multiple Linear regression - machine-learning

I am doing multiple regression problem. I have the below data set as below.
rank--discipline--yrs.since.phd--yrs.service--sex--salary
[ 1 1 19 18 1 139750],......
I am taking salary as dependent variable, and other variable as independent variable. After doing data pre processing, I ran the gradient descent, regression model. I estimated bias(intercept), coefficient for all independent features.
I want to do scattered plot for the actual values and regression line
for the hypothesis I predicted. Since we have more than one features here,
I have the below questions.
While plotting actual values (scatted plot), how do I decide the x-axis values. Meaning, I have list of values. for example, first row [1,1,19,18,1]=>139750 How do I transform or map [1,1,19,18,1] to x-axis.? I need to somehow make [1,1,19,18,1] to one value, so I can mark a point of (x,y) in the plot.
While plotting regression line, what would be the feature values, so I can calculate the hypothesis value.?
Meaning now, I have the intercept, and weight of all features, but I dont have the feature values. How do I decide upon the feature values now.?
I want to calculate the points and use matplot to do the jobs. I am aware that there are lot of tools available outside including matplotlib to do the job. But I want to get the basic understanding.
Thanks.

I am still not sure I completely understand your question, so if something is not what you expected comment below and we will work it out.
Now,
Query 1: In all your datasets you are going to have multiple inputs and there is no way to view the target variable salary in your case with respect to all, in a single graph, what is usually done is either you apply the concept of dimensionality reduction on your data using t-sne (link) or you use principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of your data, and make your output a function of two or three variables and then plot it on the screen, the other technique that I prefer is rather plotting target vs each variable separately as subplot, The reason for this is we don't even have a way to comprehend how we will see the data that is in more than three dimensions.
Query 2: If you are not determined to use matplotlib, I will suggest seaborn.regplot(), but let's also do it in matplotlib. Suppose the variable you want to use first is 'discipline' vs 'salary'.
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
lm = LinearRegression()
X = df[['discipline']]
Y = df['salary']
lm.fit(X,Y)
After running this lm.coef_ will give you the coefficient, and lm.intercept_ will give you the intercept, in a linear equation that forms this variable, then you can plot the data between two variables and a line using matplotlib easily.

what you can do is ->
from pandas import plotting as pdplt
pdplt.scatter_matrix(dataframe, pass the remaining required parameters)
by this you will get a matrix of plots(in your case it's 6X6) which will exactly show how each column in your dataframe relates to the other columns and you can clearly visualise which feature dominates the result and also how the features are correlated to each other.
If you ask me this is the first thing I used to do with such types of problems and then remove all correlated features and select the features which best approximate the output.
But as you have to plot a 2d plot and in the above approach you might get more than a single feature which dominate the output then what you can do is a miracle named PCA.
If you ask me PCA is one of the most beautiful thing in machine learning. What it will do that is somehow merges all your feautres in some magical ratio which will generate principle components for your data. Principal components are those components which govern/major contribution to your model. You apply pca by simply importing from sklearn and then select the first principle component(as you need a 2d plot) or might select 2 priciple components and plot a 3d graph. But always remember this that these pricipal components are not the real features of your model but they are some magical combination and how PCA did so is very very interesting(by using concepts like eigen values and vectors) and you can build by your own also.
Apart from all these you can apply Singular Value decomposition(SVD) to your model which is the essence of whole linear algebra which is a type of matrix decomposition existing for all matrix. What this do is decompose your matrix into three matrix out of which the diagonal matrix which consists of singular values(a scaling factor) in descending order and what you have to do is that select the top singular values (in your case only the first one having highest magnitude) and construct back a feature matrix from 5 columns to 1 columns and then plot that. You can do svd by using the numpy.linalg
Once you applied any one of these methods then what you can do is learn your hypothesis with only the single most important selected feature and finally plot the graph. But take a tip, just for plotting a 2d graph you should avoid other important features beacuse maybe you have 3 principal components all having almost the same contribution and may the top three singular values are very close to each other. So take my words and take all important features into account and if you need the visualisation of these important features then use scatter matrix
Summary ->
All I want to mention is that you can do the same process with all these things and also can invent your own statistical or mathematical model for compressing your feature space.
But for me I prefer to go with PCA and in such type of problems I even first plot the scatter matrix to get an visual intuition to the data. And also PCA and SVD helps to remove redundancy and hence overfitting.
For rest details refer to docs.
Happy machine learning...

Related

Principle Component Analysis

I am studying principle component analysis, and I have just learnt that before applying PCA to the data samples, we have to apply two preprocessing steps which are mean normalization and feature scaling. However, I have no idea about what mean normalization is and how it can be implemented.
At first I searched it; however, I could not find a instructive explanation. Is there anyone who can explain what is mean normalization and how it can be implemented ?
Assume there is a dataset with 'd' features(Columns) and 'n' Observations(Rows). For simplicity sake lets consider d=2 and n=100. Which means now you dataset has 2 features and 100 observations.
In other words, now your dataset is a 2-dimensional array with 100 rows and 2 columns - (100x2).
Initially, when you visualize it, you can see that the points are scattered in a 2 dimension.
When you standardize the dataset, and when you visualize it you can actually see that all the points have shifted towards the origin. In other words, all the observation points have a mean of value 0 and standard deviation of value 1. This process is called Standardization.
How do you Standardize..?
Its pretty simple. The Formula is straight forward.
z = (X - u) / s
Where,
X - an observation in the feature column
u - mean of the feature column
s - standard deviation of the feature column
Note: You have to apply standardization with respect to all feature in the dataset
Reference:
https://machinelearningmastery.com/normalize-standardize-machine-learning-data-weka/
https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.preprocessing.StandardScaler.html

an algorithm for clustering visually separable clusters

I have visualized a dataset in 2D after employing PCA. 1 dimension is time and the Y dimension is First PCA component. As figure shows, there is relatively good separation between points (A, B). But unfortunately clustering methods (DBSCAN, SMO, KMEANS, Hierarchical) are not able to cluster these points in 2 clusters. As you see in section A there is a relative continuity and this continuous process is finished and Section B starts and there is rather big gap in comparison to past data between A and B.
I will be so grateful if you can introduce me any method and algorithm (or devising any metric from data considering its distribution) to be able to do separation between A and B without visualization. Thank you so much.
This is plot of 2 PCA components for the above plot(the first one). The other one is also the plot of components of other dataset which I get bad result,too.
This is a time series, and apparently you are looking for change points or want to segment this time series.
Do not treat this data set as a two dimensional x-y data set, and don't use clustering here; rather choose an algorithm that is actually designed for time series.
As a starter, plot series[x] - series[x-1], i.e. the first derivative. You may need to remove seasonality to improve results. No clustering algorithm will do this, they do not have a notion of seasonality or time.
If PCA gives you a good separation, you can just try to cluster after projecting your data through your PCA eigenvectors. If you don't want to use PCA, then you will need anyway an alternative data projection method, because failing clustering methods imply that your data is not separable in the original dimensions. You can take a look at non linear clustering methods such as the kernel based ones or spectral clustering for example. Or to define your own non-euclidian metric, which is in fact just another data projection method.
But using PCA clearly seems to be the best fit in your case (Occam razor : use the simplest model that fits your data).
I don't know that you'll have an easy time devising an algorithm to handle this case, which is dangerously (by present capabilities) close to "read my mind" clustering. You have a significant alley where you've marked the division. You have one nearly as good around (1700, +1/3), and an isolate near (1850, 0.45). These will make it hard to convince a general-use algorithm to make exactly one division at the spot you want, although that one is (I think) still the most computationally obvious.
Spectral clustering works well at finding gaps; I'd try that first. You might have to ask it for 3 or 4 clusters to separate the one you want in general. You could also try playing with SVM (good at finding alleys in data), but doing that in an unsupervised context is the tricky part.
No, KMeans is not going to work; it isn't sensitive to density or connectivity.

Choosing Features and restoring Features using K Mean in Scikit

I want to do some K Mean Clustering in Scikit. I have 9 features, but I only want to select four of them in clustering, also since each of four clustering is measured in different metrics, I want to normalize each four feature to be clustered. However, I want to list each data in original form with its respective cluster point. What should I do?
You can always use the original data points.
Either recompute the centroid in the original data, or apply the inverse normalization (z-normalization is reversible!); but then you'll only get data for the four attributes you used.
Recomputing the centroids in the original data is trivial, and will get you information on the other attribute as well (if you can compute a mean, and they aren't e.g. categorial; but then you might want to look at the mode instead)

Information leakage in Cross-validation

Description of classification problem:
Assume a regular dataset X with n samples and d features.
This classification problem is somewhat hard (many features, few samples, low overall AUC ~70%).
It might be useful to mention that feature selection/extraction, dimension reduction, kernels, many classifiers have been applied. So I am not interested in trying these.
I am not looking forward to see an improvement in overall AUC. The goal is to find relevant features in haystack of features.
Description of my approach:
I select all pairwise combination of d features and create many two dimensional sub-datasets x with n samples.
On each sub-dataset x, I perform a 10-fold cross-validation (using all samples of the main dataset X). A very long process, assume weeks of computation.
I select top k pairs (according to highest AUC for example) and label them as +. All other pairs are labeled as -.
For each pair, I can compute several properties (e.g. relations between each pair using Expert's knowledge). These properties can be calculated without using the labels in main dataset X.
Now I have pairs which are labeled as + or -. In addition, each pair has many properties calculated based on Expert's knowledge (i.e. features). Hence, I have a new classification problem. Lets call this newly generated dataset Y.
I train a classifier on Y while following cross-validation rules. Surprisingly, I can predict the + and - labels with 90% AUC.
As far as I can see, it means that I am able to select relevant features. However, seeing a 90% AUC makes me worried about information leakage somewhere in this long process. Specially in step 3.
I was wondering if anyone can see any leakage in this approach.
Information Leakage:
Incorporation of target labels in the actual features. Your classifier will produce good prediction while did not learn anything.
Showing your test set to you classifier during the training phase. Your classifier will "memorize" the test set and its corresponding labels without "learning" anything.
Update 1:
I want to stress that indeed I am using all data points of X in step 1. However, I am not using them ever again (even for testing). The final 90% AUC is obtained from predicting labels of dataset Y.
On the other hand, it would be useful to note that, even if I randomize the values of my main dataset X, the computed features for dataset Y is going to be the same. However, the sample labels in Y would change because the previous + pairs might not be a good one anymore. Therefore they will be labeled as -.
Update 2:
Although I haven't got any opinion, I am going to state what I have got during 4 days of talking with pattern recognition researchers. Briefly I became confident that there is no information leakage (as long as I wont go back to the first dataset X and using its labels). Later on, in case I wanted to check to see if I could have better performance in X (i.e. predicting sample labels), I need to use only a part of dataset X for pairwise comparison (as training set). Then I can use the rest of samples in X as test set while using positively predicted pairs of Y as features.
I will set this as an answer in case no one could reject this method.
If your processes in step 1 uses all data. then the features you are learning have information from the whole data set. Since you selected based on the whole dataset and THEN validation, you are leaking serious information.
You should probably stick with tools that are well known / already done for you before running out and trying weird strategies like this. Try using a model with L1 regularization to do feature selection for your, or start with some of the simpler searches like Sequential Backward Selection.
If you do cross validation correctly in the end, each training will perform its own independent feature selection. If you do one global feature selection and then do CV, you are going to be doing it wrong and probably leaking information.

Clustering Method Selection in High-Dimension?

If the data to cluster are literally points (either 2D (x, y) or 3D (x, y,z)), it would be quite intuitive to choose a clustering method. Because we can draw them and visualize them, we somewhat know better which clustering method is more suitable.
e.g.1 If my 2D data set is of the formation shown in the right top corner, I would know that K-means may not be a wise choice here, whereas DBSCAN seems like a better idea.
However, just as the scikit-learn website states:
While these examples give some intuition about the algorithms, this
intuition might not apply to very high dimensional data.
AFAIK, in most of the piratical problems we don't have such simple data. Most probably, we have high-dimensional tuples, which cannot be visualized like such, as data.
e.g.2 I wish to cluster a data set where each data is represented as a 4-D tuple <characteristic1, characteristic2, characteristic3, characteristic4>. I CANNOT visualize it in a coordinate system and observes its distribution like before. So I will NOT be able to say DBSCAN is superior to K-means in this case.
So my question:
How does one choose the suitable clustering method for such an "invisualizable" high-dimensional case?
"High-dimensional" in clustering probably starts at some 10-20 dimensions in dense data, and 1000+ dimensions in sparse data (e.g. text).
4 dimensions are not much of a problem, and can still be visualized; for example by using multiple 2d projections (or even 3d, using rotation); or using parallel coordinates. Here's a visualization of the 4-dimensional "iris" data set using a scatter plot matrix.
However, the first thing you still should do is spend a lot of time on preprocessing, and finding an appropriate distance function.
If you really need methods for high-dimensional data, have a look at subspace clustering and correlation clustering, e.g.
Kriegel, Hans-Peter, Peer Kröger, and Arthur Zimek. Clustering high-dimensional data: A survey on subspace clustering, pattern-based clustering, and correlation clustering. ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data (TKDD) 3.1 (2009): 1.
The authors of that survey also publish a software framework which has a lot of these advanced clustering methods (not just k-means, but e.h. CASH, FourC, ERiC): ELKI
There are at least two common, generic approaches:
One can use some dimensionality reduction technique in order to actually visualize the high dimensional data, there are dozens of popular solutions including (but not limited to):
PCA - principal component analysis
SOM - self-organizing maps
Sammon's mapping
Autoencoder Neural Networks
KPCA - kernel principal component analysis
Isomap
After this one goes back to the original space and use some techniques that seems resonable based on observations in the reduced space, or performs clustering in the reduced space itself.First approach uses all avaliable information, but can be invalid due to differences induced by the reduction process. While the second one ensures that your observations and choice is valid (as you reduce your problem to the nice, 2d/3d one) but it loses lots of information due to transformation used.
One tries many different algorithms and choose the one with the best metrics (there have been many clustering evaluation metrics proposed). This is computationally expensive approach, but has a lower bias (as reducting the dimensionality introduces the information change following from the used transformation)
It is true that high dimensional data cannot be easily visualized in an euclidean high dimensional data but it is not true that there are no visualization techniques for them.
In addition to this claim I will add that with just 4 features (your dimensions) you can easily try the parallel coordinates visualization method. Or simply try a multivariate data analysis taking two features at a time (so 6 times in total) to try to figure out which relations intercour between the two (correlation and dependency generally). Or you can even use a 3d space for three at a time.
Then, how to get some info from these visualizations? Well, it is not as easy as in an euclidean space but the point is to spot visually if the data clusters in some groups (eg near some values on an axis for a parallel coordinate diagram) and think if the data is somehow separable (eg if it forms regions like circles or line separable in the scatter plots).
A little digression: the diagram you posted is not indicative of the power or capabilities of each algorithm given some particular data distributions, it simply highlights the nature of some algorithms: for instance k-means is able to separate only convex and ellipsoidail areas (and keep in mind that convexity and ellipsoids exist even in N-th dimensions). What I mean is that there is not a rule that says: given the distributiuons depicted in this diagram, you have to choose the correct clustering algorithm consequently.
I suggest to use a data mining toolbox that lets you explore and visualize the data (and easily transform them since you can change their topology with transformations, projections and reductions, check the other answer by lejlot for that) like Weka (plus you do not have to implement all the algorithms by yourself.
In the end I will point you to this resource for different cluster goodness and fitness measures so you can compare the results rfom different algorithms.
I would also suggest soft subspace clustering, a pretty common approach nowadays, where feature weights are added to find the most relevant features. You can use these weights to increase performance and improve the BMU calculation with euclidean distance, for example.

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