Where is my mistake in the following example about Viterbi algorithm? - machine-learning

I am trying to learn Hidden Markov Model, Viterbi algorithm. Therefore I was looking for an example to study. I came across a simple example from this link;
Up to the position 3 I understood everything. However in position 3 when calculating A;
- δ(A) = max { 0.2 x 0.6 x 0.063, 0.7 x 0.7 x 0.7 }
= max { 0.00756(A), 0.09604(B) }
Since the B value is greater than A value we select B in state 2 for A in state 3. The value for A in state 3 should be 0.09604
To calculate B value in state 3;
- δ(B) = max { 0.7 x 0.6 x 0.063, 0.2 x 0.7 x 0.196 }
= max { 0.02646(A), 0.02744(B) }
Since the B value is greater than A value we select B in state 2 for B in state 3. Therefore the value for B in state 3 should be 0.02744
However in the example for state 3 the values are calculated in the example as follows;
δ(B) = 0.02646
δ(A) = 0.02744
Different from my answers.
I am still learning the subject so it is likely that I am making a mistake. However I can't see where.
Why am I getting different answer? What is the problem in my solution?

Related

why am I getting a value greater than 1 as dice score

I have two segmented images, and I've computed the dice score using the formula below, however, I keep getting values greater than 1 (like 11.8, 12.8) as a dice score. is there a reason why? or is my approach for computing the dice score wrong?
def dice(X, Y):
intersection = (X * Y).sum()
union = X.sum() + Y.sum()
return ((2. * intersection) / (union))

Understanding code wrt Logistic Regression using gradient descent

I was following Siraj Raval's videos on logistic regression using gradient descent :
1) Link to longer video :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdM6ER7zTLk&t=2686s
2) Link to shorter video :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRJCOz3AfYY&list=PL2-dafEMk2A7mu0bSksCGMJEmeddU_H4D
In the videos he talks about using gradient descent to reduce the error for a set number of iterations so that the function converges(slope becomes zero).
He also illustrates the process via code. The following are the two main functions from the code :
def step_gradient(b_current, m_current, points, learningRate):
b_gradient = 0
m_gradient = 0
N = float(len(points))
for i in range(0, len(points)):
x = points[i, 0]
y = points[i, 1]
b_gradient += -(2/N) * (y - ((m_current * x) + b_current))
m_gradient += -(2/N) * x * (y - ((m_current * x) + b_current))
new_b = b_current - (learningRate * b_gradient)
new_m = m_current - (learningRate * m_gradient)
return [new_b, new_m]
def gradient_descent_runner(points, starting_b, starting_m, learning_rate, num_iterations):
b = starting_b
m = starting_m
for i in range(num_iterations):
b, m = step_gradient(b, m, array(points), learning_rate)
return [b, m]
#The above functions are called below:
learning_rate = 0.0001
initial_b = 0 # initial y-intercept guess
initial_m = 0 # initial slope guess
num_iterations = 1000
[b, m] = gradient_descent_runner(points, initial_b, initial_m, learning_rate, num_iterations)
# code taken from Siraj Raval's github page
Why does the value of b & m continue to update for all the iterations? After a certain number of iterations, the function will converge, when we find the values of b & m that give slope = 0.
So why do we continue iteration after that point and continue updating b & m ?
This way, aren't we losing the 'correct' b & m values? How is learning rate helping the convergence process if we continue to update values after converging? Thus, why is there no check for convergence, and so how is this actually working?
In practice, most likely you will not reach to slope 0 exactly. Thinking of your loss function as a bowl. If your learning rate is too high, it is possible to overshoot over the lowest point of the bowl. On the contrary, if the learning rate is too low, your learning will become too slow and won't reach the lowest point of the bowl before all iterations are done.
That's why in machine learning, the learning rate is an important hyperparameter to tune.
Actually, once we reach a slope 0; b_gradient and m_gradient will become 0;
thus, for :
new_b = b_current - (learningRate * b_gradient)
new_m = m_current - (learningRate * m_gradient)
new_b and new_m will remain the old correct values; as nothing will be subtracted from them.

Algorithm to always sum sliders to 100% failing due to zeroes

This is (supposed to be) a function which makes sure that the the sum of a number of slider's values always adds up to globalTotal.
A slider value can be changed manually by the user to changer.value and then when applying this function to the values of the other sliders, it can determine their new or endVal.
It takes the startVal of the slider which needs changing and the original value of the slider that changed changerStartVal and can determine the new value others by weighting.
The problem and my question is. Sometimes remainingStartVals can be zero (when the slider changing gets moved all the way to maximum) or startVal can be zero (when the slider changing is moved to zero and then another slider is moved). When this happens I get a divide-by-zero or a multiply-by-zero respectively. Both of which are bad and lead to incorrect results. Is there an easy way to fix this?
func calcNewVal(startVal: Float, changerStartVal: Float) -> Float {
let remainingStartVals = globalTotal - changerStartVal
let remainingNewVals = globalTotal - changer.value
let endVal = ((startVal * (100 / remainingStartVals)) / 100) * remainingNewVals
return endVal
}
This is a mathematical problem, not a problem related to Swift or any specific programming language so I'll answer with mathematical formulas and explanations rather than code snippets.
I don't really understand your algorithm either. For example in this line:
let endVal = ((startVal * (100 / remainingStartVals)) / 100) * remainingNewVals
you first multiply by 100 and then divide by 100, so you could just leave all these 100 factors out in the first place!
However, I think I understand what you're trying to achieve and the problem is that there is no generic solution. Before writing an algorithm you have to define exactly how you want it to behave, including all edge cases.
Let's define:
vi as the value of the i-th slider and
Δi as the change of the i-th slider's value
Then you have to think of the following cases:
Case 1:
0 < vi ≤ 1 for all sliders (other than the one you changed)
This is probably the common case you were thinking about. In this case you want to adjust the values of your unchanged sliders so that their total change is equal to the change Δchanged of the slider you changed. In other words:
∑i Δi = 0
If you have 3 sliders this reduces to:
Δ1 + Δ2 + Δ3 = 0
And if the slider that changed is the one with i = 1 then this requirement would read:
Δ1 = – (Δ2 + Δ3)
You want the sliders to adjust proportionally which means that this change Δ1 should not be distributed equally on the other sliders but depending on their current value:
Δ2 = – w2 * Δ1
Δ3 = – w3 * Δ1
The normed weight factors are
w2 = v2 / (v2 + v3)
w3 = v3 / (v2 + v3)
Thus we get:
Δ2 = – v2 / (v2 + v3) * Δ1
Δ3 = – v3 / (v2 + v3) * Δ1
So these are the formulas to applied for this particular case.
However, there are quite a few other cases that don't work with this approach:
Case 2:
vi = 0 for at least one, but not all of the sliders (other than the one you changed)
In this case the approach from case 1 would still work (plus it would be the logical thing to do). However, a slider's value would never change if it's zero. All of the change will be distributed over the sliders with a value > 0.
Case 3:
vi = 0 for all sliders (other than the one you changed)
In this case the proportional change doesn't work because there is simply no information how to distribute the change over the sliders. They're all zero! This is actually your zero division problem: In the case where we have 3 sliders and the slider 1 changes we'll get
v2 + v3 = 0
This is only another manifestation of the fact that the weight factors wi are simply undefined. Thus, you'll have to manually define what will happen in this case.
The most plausible thing to do in this case is to distribute the change evenly over all sliders:
Δi = – (1 / n) * Δ1
where n is the number of sliders (excluding the one that was changed!). With this logic, every slider gets "the same share" of the change.
Now that we're clear with our algorithm you can implement these cases in code. Here some pseudo code as an example:
if sum(valuesOfAllSlidersOtherThanTheSliderThatChanged) == 0 {
for allUnchangedSliders {
// distribute change evenly over the sliders
Δi = – (1 / n) * Δ_changedSlider
}
}
else {
for allUnchangedSliders {
// use weight factor to change proportionally
Δi = – v_i / ∑(v_i) * Δ_changedSlider
}
}
Please be aware that you must cache the values of the current state of your sliders at the beginning or (even better) first compute all the changes and then apply all the changes in a batch. Otherwise you will use a value v2' that you just computed for determining the value v3' which will obviously result in incorrect values.
Hey #Sean the simplest adjustment that I could think of here is to check if the remainingStartVals is not 0 that means that there are weights assigned to the other sliders and also check if a single slider had a weight to begin with which means its startVal shouldn't be equal to 0
func calcNewVal(startVal: Float, changerStartVal: Float) -> Float{
var endVal = 0
let remainingStartVals = globalTotal - changerStartVal
if remainingStartVals != 0 || startVal != 0{
let remainingNewVals = globalTotal - changer.value
endVal = ((startVal * (100 / remainingStartVals)) / 100) * remainingNewVals
}
return endVal
}

Generate weighted random number in Swift [duplicate]

Check out this question:
Swift probability of random number being selected?
The top answer suggests to use a switch statement, which does the job. However, if I have a very large number of cases to consider, the code looks very inelegant; I have a giant switch statement with very similar code in each case repeated over and over again.
Is there a nicer, cleaner way to pick a random number with a certain probability when you have a large number of probabilities to consider? (like ~30)
This is a Swift implementation strongly influenced by the various
answers to Generate random numbers with a given (numerical) distribution.
For Swift 4.2/Xcode 10 and later (explanations inline):
func randomNumber(probabilities: [Double]) -> Int {
// Sum of all probabilities (so that we don't have to require that the sum is 1.0):
let sum = probabilities.reduce(0, +)
// Random number in the range 0.0 <= rnd < sum :
let rnd = Double.random(in: 0.0 ..< sum)
// Find the first interval of accumulated probabilities into which `rnd` falls:
var accum = 0.0
for (i, p) in probabilities.enumerated() {
accum += p
if rnd < accum {
return i
}
}
// This point might be reached due to floating point inaccuracies:
return (probabilities.count - 1)
}
Examples:
let x = randomNumber(probabilities: [0.2, 0.3, 0.5])
returns 0 with probability 0.2, 1 with probability 0.3,
and 2 with probability 0.5.
let x = randomNumber(probabilities: [1.0, 2.0])
return 0 with probability 1/3 and 1 with probability 2/3.
For Swift 3/Xcode 8:
func randomNumber(probabilities: [Double]) -> Int {
// Sum of all probabilities (so that we don't have to require that the sum is 1.0):
let sum = probabilities.reduce(0, +)
// Random number in the range 0.0 <= rnd < sum :
let rnd = sum * Double(arc4random_uniform(UInt32.max)) / Double(UInt32.max)
// Find the first interval of accumulated probabilities into which `rnd` falls:
var accum = 0.0
for (i, p) in probabilities.enumerated() {
accum += p
if rnd < accum {
return i
}
}
// This point might be reached due to floating point inaccuracies:
return (probabilities.count - 1)
}
For Swift 2/Xcode 7:
func randomNumber(probabilities probabilities: [Double]) -> Int {
// Sum of all probabilities (so that we don't have to require that the sum is 1.0):
let sum = probabilities.reduce(0, combine: +)
// Random number in the range 0.0 <= rnd < sum :
let rnd = sum * Double(arc4random_uniform(UInt32.max)) / Double(UInt32.max)
// Find the first interval of accumulated probabilities into which `rnd` falls:
var accum = 0.0
for (i, p) in probabilities.enumerate() {
accum += p
if rnd < accum {
return i
}
}
// This point might be reached due to floating point inaccuracies:
return (probabilities.count - 1)
}
Is there a nicer, cleaner way to pick a random number with a certain probability when you have a large number of probabilities to consider?
Sure. Write a function that generates a number based on a table of probabilities. That's essentially what the switch statement you've pointed to is: a table defined in code. You could do the same thing with data using a table that's defined as a list of probabilities and outcomes:
probability outcome
----------- -------
0.4 1
0.2 2
0.1 3
0.15 4
0.15 5
Now you can pick a number between 0 and 1 at random. Starting from the top of the list, add up probabilities until you've exceeded the number you picked, and use the corresponding outcome. For example, let's say the number you pick is 0.6527637. Start at the top: 0.4 is smaller, so keep going. 0.6 (0.4 + 0.2) is smaller, so keep going. 0.7 (0.6 + 0.1) is larger, so stop. The outcome is 3.
I've kept the table short here for the sake of clarity, but you can make it as long as you like, and you can define it in a data file so that you don't have to recompile when the list changes.
Note that there's nothing particularly specific to Swift about this method -- you could do the same thing in C or Swift or Lisp.
This seems like a good opportunity for a shameless plug to my small library, swiftstats:
https://github.com/r0fls/swiftstats
For example, this would generate 3 random variables from a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1:
import SwiftStats
let n = SwiftStats.Distributions.Normal(0, 1.0)
print(n.random())
Supported distributions include: normal, exponential, binomial, etc...
It also supports fitting sample data to a given distribution, using the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the distribution.
See the project readme for more info.
You could do it with exponential or quadratic functions - have x be your random number, take y as the new random number. Then, you just have to jiggle the equation until it fits your use case. Say I had (x^2)/10 + (x/300). Put your random number in, (as some floating-point form), and then get the floor with Int() when it comes out. So, if my random number generator goes from 0 to 9, I have a 40% chance of getting 0, and a 30% chance of getting 1 - 3, a 20% chance of getting 4 - 6, and a 10% chance of an 8. You're basically trying to fake some kind of normal distribution.
Here's an idea of what it would look like in Swift:
func giveY (x: UInt32) -> Int {
let xD = Double(x)
return Int(xD * xD / 10 + xD / 300)
}
let ans = giveY (arc4random_uniform(10))
EDIT:
I wasn't very clear above - what I meant was you could replace the switch statement with some function that would return a set of numbers with a probability distribution that you could figure out with regression using wolfram or something. So, for the question you linked to, you could do something like this:
import Foundation
func returnLevelChange() -> Double {
return 0.06 * exp(0.4 * Double(arc4random_uniform(10))) - 0.1
}
newItemLevel = oldItemLevel * returnLevelChange()
So that function returns a double somewhere between -0.05 and 2.1. That would be your "x% worse/better than current item level" figure. But, since it's an exponential function, it won't return an even spread of numbers. The arc4random_uniform(10) returns an int from 0 - 9, and each of those would result in a double like this:
0: -0.04
1: -0.01
2: 0.03
3: 0.1
4: 0.2
5: 0.34
6: 0.56
7: 0.89
8: 1.37
9: 2.1
Since each of those ints from the arc4random_uniform has an equal chance of showing up, you get probabilities like this:
40% chance of -0.04 to 0.1 (~ -5% - 10%)
30% chance of 0.2 to 0.56 (~ 20% - 55%)
20% chance of 0.89 to 1.37 (~ 90% - 140%)
10% chance of 2.1 (~ 200%)
Which is something similar to the probabilities that other person had. Now, for your function, it's much more difficult, and the other answers are almost definitely more applicable and elegant. BUT you could still do it.
Arrange each of the letters in order of their probability - from largest to smallest. Then, get their cumulative sums, starting with 0, without the last. (so probabilities of 50%, 30%, 20% becomes 0, 0.5, 0.8). Then you multiply them up until they're integers with reasonable accuracy (0, 5, 8). Then, plot them - your cumulative probabilities are your x's, the things you want to select with a given probability (your letters) are your y's. (you obviously can't plot actual letters on the y axis, so you'd just plot their indices in some array). Then, you'd try find some regression there, and have that be your function. For instance, trying those numbers, I got
e^0.14x - 1
and this:
let letters: [Character] = ["a", "b", "c"]
func randLetter() -> Character {
return letters[Int(exp(0.14 * Double(arc4random_uniform(10))) - 1)]
}
returns "a" 50% of the time, "b" 30% of the time, and "c" 20% of the time. Obviously pretty cumbersome for more letters, and it would take a while to figure out the right regression, and if you wanted to change the weightings you're have to do it manually. BUT if you did find a nice equation that did fit your values, the actual function would only be a couple lines long, and fast.

Generate random numbers with a given distribution

Check out this question:
Swift probability of random number being selected?
The top answer suggests to use a switch statement, which does the job. However, if I have a very large number of cases to consider, the code looks very inelegant; I have a giant switch statement with very similar code in each case repeated over and over again.
Is there a nicer, cleaner way to pick a random number with a certain probability when you have a large number of probabilities to consider? (like ~30)
This is a Swift implementation strongly influenced by the various
answers to Generate random numbers with a given (numerical) distribution.
For Swift 4.2/Xcode 10 and later (explanations inline):
func randomNumber(probabilities: [Double]) -> Int {
// Sum of all probabilities (so that we don't have to require that the sum is 1.0):
let sum = probabilities.reduce(0, +)
// Random number in the range 0.0 <= rnd < sum :
let rnd = Double.random(in: 0.0 ..< sum)
// Find the first interval of accumulated probabilities into which `rnd` falls:
var accum = 0.0
for (i, p) in probabilities.enumerated() {
accum += p
if rnd < accum {
return i
}
}
// This point might be reached due to floating point inaccuracies:
return (probabilities.count - 1)
}
Examples:
let x = randomNumber(probabilities: [0.2, 0.3, 0.5])
returns 0 with probability 0.2, 1 with probability 0.3,
and 2 with probability 0.5.
let x = randomNumber(probabilities: [1.0, 2.0])
return 0 with probability 1/3 and 1 with probability 2/3.
For Swift 3/Xcode 8:
func randomNumber(probabilities: [Double]) -> Int {
// Sum of all probabilities (so that we don't have to require that the sum is 1.0):
let sum = probabilities.reduce(0, +)
// Random number in the range 0.0 <= rnd < sum :
let rnd = sum * Double(arc4random_uniform(UInt32.max)) / Double(UInt32.max)
// Find the first interval of accumulated probabilities into which `rnd` falls:
var accum = 0.0
for (i, p) in probabilities.enumerated() {
accum += p
if rnd < accum {
return i
}
}
// This point might be reached due to floating point inaccuracies:
return (probabilities.count - 1)
}
For Swift 2/Xcode 7:
func randomNumber(probabilities probabilities: [Double]) -> Int {
// Sum of all probabilities (so that we don't have to require that the sum is 1.0):
let sum = probabilities.reduce(0, combine: +)
// Random number in the range 0.0 <= rnd < sum :
let rnd = sum * Double(arc4random_uniform(UInt32.max)) / Double(UInt32.max)
// Find the first interval of accumulated probabilities into which `rnd` falls:
var accum = 0.0
for (i, p) in probabilities.enumerate() {
accum += p
if rnd < accum {
return i
}
}
// This point might be reached due to floating point inaccuracies:
return (probabilities.count - 1)
}
Is there a nicer, cleaner way to pick a random number with a certain probability when you have a large number of probabilities to consider?
Sure. Write a function that generates a number based on a table of probabilities. That's essentially what the switch statement you've pointed to is: a table defined in code. You could do the same thing with data using a table that's defined as a list of probabilities and outcomes:
probability outcome
----------- -------
0.4 1
0.2 2
0.1 3
0.15 4
0.15 5
Now you can pick a number between 0 and 1 at random. Starting from the top of the list, add up probabilities until you've exceeded the number you picked, and use the corresponding outcome. For example, let's say the number you pick is 0.6527637. Start at the top: 0.4 is smaller, so keep going. 0.6 (0.4 + 0.2) is smaller, so keep going. 0.7 (0.6 + 0.1) is larger, so stop. The outcome is 3.
I've kept the table short here for the sake of clarity, but you can make it as long as you like, and you can define it in a data file so that you don't have to recompile when the list changes.
Note that there's nothing particularly specific to Swift about this method -- you could do the same thing in C or Swift or Lisp.
This seems like a good opportunity for a shameless plug to my small library, swiftstats:
https://github.com/r0fls/swiftstats
For example, this would generate 3 random variables from a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1:
import SwiftStats
let n = SwiftStats.Distributions.Normal(0, 1.0)
print(n.random())
Supported distributions include: normal, exponential, binomial, etc...
It also supports fitting sample data to a given distribution, using the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the distribution.
See the project readme for more info.
You could do it with exponential or quadratic functions - have x be your random number, take y as the new random number. Then, you just have to jiggle the equation until it fits your use case. Say I had (x^2)/10 + (x/300). Put your random number in, (as some floating-point form), and then get the floor with Int() when it comes out. So, if my random number generator goes from 0 to 9, I have a 40% chance of getting 0, and a 30% chance of getting 1 - 3, a 20% chance of getting 4 - 6, and a 10% chance of an 8. You're basically trying to fake some kind of normal distribution.
Here's an idea of what it would look like in Swift:
func giveY (x: UInt32) -> Int {
let xD = Double(x)
return Int(xD * xD / 10 + xD / 300)
}
let ans = giveY (arc4random_uniform(10))
EDIT:
I wasn't very clear above - what I meant was you could replace the switch statement with some function that would return a set of numbers with a probability distribution that you could figure out with regression using wolfram or something. So, for the question you linked to, you could do something like this:
import Foundation
func returnLevelChange() -> Double {
return 0.06 * exp(0.4 * Double(arc4random_uniform(10))) - 0.1
}
newItemLevel = oldItemLevel * returnLevelChange()
So that function returns a double somewhere between -0.05 and 2.1. That would be your "x% worse/better than current item level" figure. But, since it's an exponential function, it won't return an even spread of numbers. The arc4random_uniform(10) returns an int from 0 - 9, and each of those would result in a double like this:
0: -0.04
1: -0.01
2: 0.03
3: 0.1
4: 0.2
5: 0.34
6: 0.56
7: 0.89
8: 1.37
9: 2.1
Since each of those ints from the arc4random_uniform has an equal chance of showing up, you get probabilities like this:
40% chance of -0.04 to 0.1 (~ -5% - 10%)
30% chance of 0.2 to 0.56 (~ 20% - 55%)
20% chance of 0.89 to 1.37 (~ 90% - 140%)
10% chance of 2.1 (~ 200%)
Which is something similar to the probabilities that other person had. Now, for your function, it's much more difficult, and the other answers are almost definitely more applicable and elegant. BUT you could still do it.
Arrange each of the letters in order of their probability - from largest to smallest. Then, get their cumulative sums, starting with 0, without the last. (so probabilities of 50%, 30%, 20% becomes 0, 0.5, 0.8). Then you multiply them up until they're integers with reasonable accuracy (0, 5, 8). Then, plot them - your cumulative probabilities are your x's, the things you want to select with a given probability (your letters) are your y's. (you obviously can't plot actual letters on the y axis, so you'd just plot their indices in some array). Then, you'd try find some regression there, and have that be your function. For instance, trying those numbers, I got
e^0.14x - 1
and this:
let letters: [Character] = ["a", "b", "c"]
func randLetter() -> Character {
return letters[Int(exp(0.14 * Double(arc4random_uniform(10))) - 1)]
}
returns "a" 50% of the time, "b" 30% of the time, and "c" 20% of the time. Obviously pretty cumbersome for more letters, and it would take a while to figure out the right regression, and if you wanted to change the weightings you're have to do it manually. BUT if you did find a nice equation that did fit your values, the actual function would only be a couple lines long, and fast.

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