Questions about keras example pretrained_word_embeddings - machine-learning

I have several questions about Keras example pretrained_word_embeddings to increase a level of understanding how it works.
Is it reasonable to use dropout layer in such model?
Last MaxPooling1D layer has to cover all output shape every time? At original model, last conv layer output is 35 and we set up maxpool the same 35 value.
Am I right if to say that increase of value 128 (kernels number) will increase accuracy?
Is it make sense to put additional conv layers to increase the accuracy? Even if it will decrease model training phase.
Thank you!

So basically there is one simple answer to your questions - you need to test it:
Adding dropout is usually a good thing. It introduces the reasonable amount of randomization and regularization. The downside is that you need to set the right value of its parameter - which sometimes might take a while.
In my opinion - the value of a MaxPooling1D in the last pooling layer was set in this way in order to reduce the dimensionality of the next layer input. One may check if e.g. values like a half of the number in previous layer (in a presented case - e.g. 18) - which only doulbes the size of the input to a next layer - could introduce any improvement.
It's hard to say - if you e.g. have a small amount of data with a really rigid structure - to much parameters might seriously harm your training. The best way is to test different parameters values in either grid or random search paradigm. It's belived that random search does a better job :)

Related

Classifying pattern in time series

I am dealing with a repeating pattern in time series data. My goal is to classify every pattern as 1, and anything that does not follow the pattern as 0. The pattern repeats itself between every two peaks as shown below in the image.
The patterns are not necessarily fixed in sample size but stay within approximate sample size, let's say 500samples +-10%. The heights of the peaks can change. The random signal (I called it random, but basically it means not following pattern shape) can also change in value.
The data is from a sensor. Patterns are when the device is working smoothly. If the device is malfunctioning, then I will not see the patterns and will get something similar to the class 0 I have shown in the image.
What I have done so far is building a logistic regression model. Here are my steps for data preparation:
Grab data between every two consecutive peaks, resample it to a fixed size of 100 samples, scale data to [0-1]. This is class 1.
Repeated step 1 on data between valley and called it class 0.
I generated some noise, and repeated step 1 on chunk of 500 samples to build extra class 0 data.
Bottom figure shows my predictions on the test dataset. Prediction on the noise chunk is not great. I am worried in the real data I may get even more false positives. Any idea on how I can improve my predictions? Any better approach when there is no class 0 data available?
I have seen similar question here. My understanding of Hidden Markov Model is limited but I believe it's used to predict future data. My goal is to classify a sliding window of 500 sample throughout my data.
I have some proposals, that you could try out.
First, I think in this field often recurrent neural networks are used (e.g. LSTMs). But I also heard that some people also work with tree based method like light gbm (I think Aileen Nielsen uses this approach).
So if you don't want to dive into neural networks, which is probably not necessary, because your signals seem to be distinguishable relative easily, you can give light gbm (or other tree ensamble methods) a chance.
If you know the maximum length of a positive sample, you can define the length of your "sliding sample-window" that becomes your input vector (so each sample in the sliding window becomes one input feature), then I would add an extra attribute with the number of samples when the last peak occured (outside/before the sample window). Then you can check in how many steps you let your window slide over the data. This also depends on the memory you have available for this.
But maybe it would be wise then to skip some of the windows between a change between positive and negative, because the states might not be classifiable unambiguously.
In case memory becomes an issue, neural networks could be the better choice, because for training they do not need all training data available at once, so you can generate your input data in batches. With tree based methods this possible does not exist or only in a very limited way.
I'm not sure of what you are trying to achieve.
If you want to characterize what is a peak or not - which is an after the facts classification - then you can use a simple rule to define peaks such as signal(t) - average(signal, t-N to t) > T, with T a certain threshold and N a number of data points to look backwards to.
This would qualify what is a peak (class 1) and what is not (class 0), hence does a classification of patterns.
If your goal is to predict that a peak is going to happen few time units before the peak (on time t), using say data from t-n1 to t-n2 as features, then logistic regression might not necessarily be the best choice.
To find the right model you have to start with visualizing the features you have from t-n1 to t-n2 for every peak(t) and see if there is any pattern you can find. And it can be anything:
was there a peak in in the n3 days before t ?
is there a trend ?
was there an outlier (transform your data into exponential)
in order to compare these patterns, think of normalizing them so that the n2-n1 data points go from 0 to 1 for example.
If you find a pattern visually then you will know what kind of model is likely to work, on which features.
If you don't then it's likely that the white noise you added will be as good. so you might not find a good prediction model.
However, your bottom graph is not so bad; you have only 2 major false positives out of >15 predictions. This hints at better feature engineering.

How specific should a Support Vector Machine Model be?

The whole point of using an SVM is that the algorithm will be able to decide whether an input is true or false etc etc.
I am trying to use an SVM for predictive maintenance to predict how likely a system is to overheat.
For my example, the range is 0-102°C and if the temperature reaches 80°C or above it's classed as a failure.
My inputs are arrays of 30 doubles(the last 30 readings).
I am making some sample inputs to train the SVM and I was wondering if it is good practice to pass in very specific data to train it - eg passing in arrays 80°C, 81°C ... 102°C so that the model will automatically associate these values with failure. You could do an array of 30 x 79°C as well and set that to pass.
This seems like a complete way of doing it, although if you input arrays like that - would it not be the same as hardcoding a switch statement to trigger when the temperature reads 80->102°C.
Would it be a good idea to pass in these "hardcoded" style arrays or should I stick to more random inputs?
If there is a finite set of possibilities I would really recommend using Naïve Bayes, as that method would fit this problem perfectly. However if you are forced to use an SVM, I would say that would be rather difficult. For starters the main idea with an SVM is to use it for classification, and the amount of scenarios does not really matter. The input is however seldom discrete, so I guess there usually are infinite scenarios. However, an SVM implemented normally would only give you a classification, unless you have 100 classes one for 1% another one for 2%, this wouldn't really solve problem.
The conclusion is that this could work, but it would not be considered "best practice". You can imagine your 30 dimensional vector space divided into 100 small sub spaces, and each datapoint, a 30x1 vector is a point in that vectorspace so that the probability is decided by which of the 100 subsets its in. However, having a 100 classes and not very clean or insufficient data, will lead to very bad, hard performing models.
Cheers :)

Input selection for neural networks

I am going to use ANN for my work in which I have a large dataset, let say input[600x40] and output[600x6]. As one can see, the number of inputs (40) is too high for ANN and it may trap in local minimum and/or increases the CPU time dramatically. Is there any way to select the most informative input?
As my first try, I used the following code in Matlab to find the cross-correlation between each two inputs:
[rho, ~] = corr(inputs, 'rows','pairwise')
However, I think this simple correlation cannot identify some hidden complex relation between the inputs.
Any ideas?
First of all 40 inputs is a very small space and it should not be reduced. Large number of inputs is 100,000, not 40. Also, 600x40 is not a big dataset, nor the one "increasing the CPU time dramaticaly", if it learns slowly than check your code because it appears to be the problem, not your data.
Furthermore, feature selection is not a good way to go, you should use it only when gathering features is actually expensive. In any other scenario you are looking for dimensionality reduction, such as PCA, LDA etc. although as said before - your data should not be reduced, rather - you should consider getting more of it (new samples/new features).
Disclaimer: I'm with lejlot on this - you should get more data and
more features instead of trying to remove features. Still, that doesn't answer your question, so here we go.
Try most basic greedy approach - try removing each feature and retrain your ANN (several times, of course) and see if your results got better or worse. Choose this situation where results got better and improvement was the best. Repeat until you'll get no improvement by removing features. This will take a lot of time, so you may want to try doing it on some subset of your data (for example on 3 folds of dataset splitted into 10 folds).
It's ugly, but sometimes it works.
I repeat what I've said in disclaimer - this is not the way to go.

How do I improve my Neural Network output?

I have a data set with 150 rows, 45 features and 40 outputs. I can well overfit the data but I cannot obtain acceptable results for my cross validation set.
With 25 hidden layers and quite large number of iterations, I was able to get ~94% accuracy on my training set; put a smile on my face. But cross validation result turned out to be less than 15%.
So to mitigate overfitting I started playing with the regularization parameter (lambda) and also the number of hidden layers. The best result (CV) I could get was 24% on training set and 34% on the training set with lambda=1, 70 hidden layers and 14000 iterations. Increasing the number of iters also made it worse; I can't understand why I cannot improve CV results with increased lambda and iters?
Here is the lambda-hiddenLayer-iter combinations I have tried:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11ObRTg05lZENpjUj4Ei3CbHOh5mVzF7h9PKHq6Yn6T4/edit?usp=sharing
Any suggested way(s) of trying smarter regulationParameter-hiddenLayer-iters combinations? Or other ways of improving my NN? I using my matlab code from Andrew Ng's ML class (uses backpropagation algorithm.)
It's very hard to learn anything from just 150 training examples with 45 features (and if I read your question right, 40 possible output classes). You need far more labeled training examples if you want to learn a reasonable classifier - probably tens or hundreds of thousands if you do have 40 possible classes. Even for binary classification or regression, you likely need thousands of examples of you have 45 meaningful features.
Some suggestions:
overfitting occurs primarily when the structure of the neural network is too complex for the problem in hand. If the structure of the NN isn't too complex, increasing the number of iterations shouldn't decrease accuracy of prediction
70 hidden layers is quite a lot, you may try to dramatically decrease the number of hidden layers (to 3-15) and increase the number of iterations. It seems from your file that 15 hidden layers are fine in comparison to 70 hidden layers
while reducing the number of hidden layers you may vary the number of neurons in hidden layers (increase/decrease) and check how the results are changing
I agree with Logan. What you see in your dataset makes perfect sense. If you simply train a NN classifier with 45 features for 40 classes you will get great accuracy because you have more features than output-classes. So the model can basically "assign" each feature to one of the output classe, but the resulting model will be highly over-fitted and probably not represent whatever you are modeling. Your significantly lower cross-validation results seem to be right.
You should rethink your approach: Why do you have 40 classes? Maybe you can change your problem into a regressive problem instead of a classification problem? Also try to look into some other algorithms like Random Forrest for example. Or decrease the number of features significantly.

One versus rest classifier

I'm implementing an one-versus-rest classifier to discriminate between neural data corresponding (1) to moving a computer cursor up and (2) to moving it in any of the other seven cardinal directions or no movement. I'm using an SVM classifier with an RBF kernel (created by LIBSVM), and I did a grid search to find the best possible gamma and cost parameters for my classifier. I have tried using training data with 338 elements from each of the two classes (undersampling my large "rest" class) and have used 338 elements from my first class and 7218 from my second one with a weighted SVM.
I have also used feature selection to bring the number of features I'm using down from 130 to 10. I tried using the ten "best" features and the ten "worst" features when training my classifier. I have also used the entire feature set.
Unfortunately, my results are not very good, and moreover, I cannot find an explanation why. I tested with 37759 data points, where 1687 of them came from the "one" (i.e. "up") class and the remaining 36072 came from the "rest" class. In all cases, my classifier is 95% accurate BUT the values that are predicted correctly all fall into the "rest" class (i.e. all my data points are predicted as "rest" and all the values that are incorrectly predicted fall in the "one"/"up" class). When I tried testing with 338 data points from each class (the same ones I used for training), I found that the number of support vectors was 666, which is ten less than the number of data points. In this case, the percent accuracy is only 71%, which is unusual since my training and testing data are the exact same.
Do you have any idea what could be going wrong? If you have any suggestions, please let me know.
Thanks!
Test dataset being same as training data implies your training accuracy was 71%. There is nothing wrong about it as the data was possibly not well separable by the kernel you used.
However, one point of concern is the number of support vectors being high suggests probable overfitting .
Not sure if this amounts to an answer - it would probably be hard to give one without actually seeing the data - but here are some ideas regarding the issue you describe:
In general, SVM tries to find a hyperplane that would best separate your classes. However, since you have opted for 1vs1 classification, you have no choice but to mix all negative cases together (your 'rest' class). This might make the 'best' separation much less fit to solve your problem. I'm guessing that this might be a major issue here.
To verify if that's the case, I suggest trying to use only one other cardinal direction as the negative set, and see if that improves results. In case it does, you can train 7 classifiers, one for each direction. Another option might be to use the multiclass option of libSVM, or a tool like SVMLight, which is able to classify one against many.
One caveat of most SVM implementations is their inability to support big differences between the positive and negative sets, even with weighting. From my experience, weighting factors of over 4-5 are problematic in many cases. On the other hand, since your variety in the negative side is large, taking equal sizes might also be less than optimal. Thus, I'd suggest using something like 338 positive examples, and around 1000-1200 random negative examples, with weighting.
A little off your question, I would have considered also other types of classification. To start with, I'd suggest thinking about knn.
Hope it helps :)

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