What are some specific examples of Ensemble Learning? - machine-learning

What are some concrete real life examples which can be solved using Boosting/Bagging algorithms? Code snippets would be greatly appreciated.

Ensembles are used to fight overfitting / improve generalization or to fight specific weaknesses / use strength of different classifiers. They can be applied in any classification task.
I used ensembles in my masters thesis. The code is on Github.
Example 1
For example, think of a binary problem where you have to tell if a data point is of class A or B. This could be an image and you have to decide if there is a (A) a dog or (B) a cat on it. Now you have two classifiers (1) and (2) (e.g. two neural networks, but trained in different ways; or one SVM and a decision tree, or ...). They make the following errors:
(1): Predicted
T | A B
R ------------
U A | 90% 10%
E B | 50% 50%
(2): Predicted
T | A B
R ------------
U A | 60% 40%
E B | 40% 60%
You could, for example, combine them to an ensemble by first using (1). If it predicts B, then you can use (2). Otherwise you stick with it.
Now, what would be the expected error, (falsely) assuming both are independent)?
If the true class is A, then we predict with 90% the true result. In 10% of the cases we predict B and use the second classifier. This one gets it right in 60% of the cases. This means if we have A, we predict A in 0.9 + 0.1*0.6 = 0.96 = 96% of the cases.
If the true class is B, we predict in 50% of the cases B. But we also need to get it right the second time, so only in 0.5*0.6 = 0.3 = 30% of the cases we get it right there.
So in this simple example we made the situation better for one class, but worse for the other.
Example 2
Now, lets say we have 3 classifiers with
Predicted
T | A B
R ------------
U A | 60% 40%
E B | 40% 60%
each, but the classifications are independent. What do you get when you make a majority vote?
If you have class A, the probability that at least two say it is class A is
0.6 * 0.6 * 0.6 + 0.6 * 0.6 * 0.4 + 0.6 * 0.4 * 0.6 + 0.4 * 0.6 * 0.6
= 1*0.6^3 + 3*(0.6^2 * 0.4^1)
= (3 nCr 3) * 0.6 + (3 nCr 2) * (0.6^2 * 0.4^1)
= 0.648
The same goes for the other class. So we improved the classifier to
Predicted
T | A B
R ------------
U A | 65% 35%
E B | 35% 65%
Code
See sklearns page on Ensembles for code.
The most specific example of ensemble learning are random forests.

Ensemble is the art of combining diverse set of learners (individual models) together to improvise on the stability and predictive power of the model.
Ensemble Learning Techniques:
Bagging : Bagging tries to implement similar learners on small sample populations and then takes a mean of all the predictions. In generalized bagging, you can use different learners on different population.
Boosting : Boosting is an iterative technique which adjust the weight of an observation based on the last classification. If an observation was classified incorrectly, it tries to increase the weight of this observation and vice versa. Boosting in general decreases the bias error and builds strong predictive models.
Stacking : This is a very interesting way of combining models. Here we use a learner to combine output from different learners. This can lead to decrease in either bias or variance error depending on the combining learner we use.
for more reference:
Basics of Ensemble Learning Explained

Here's Python based pseudo code for basic Ensemble Learning:
# 3 ML/DL models -> first_model, second_model, third_model
all_models = [first_model, second_model, third_model]
first_model.load_weights(first_weight_file)
second_model.load_weights(second_weight_file)
third_model.load_weights(third_weight_file)
def ensemble_average(models: List [Model]): # averaging
outputs = [model.outputs[0] for model in all_models]
y = Average()(outputs)
model = Model(model_input, y, name='ensemble_average')
pred = model.predict(x_test, batch_size = 32)
pred = numpy.argmax(pred, axis=1)
E = numpy.sum(numpy.not_equal(pred, y_test))/ y_test.shape[0]
return E
def ensemble_vote(models: List [Model]): # max-voting
pred = []
yhats = [model.predict(x_test) for model in all_models]
yhats = numpy.argmax(yhats, axis=2)
yhats = numpy.array(yhats)
for i in range(0,len(x_test)):
m = mode([yhats[0][i], yhats[1][i], yhats[2][i]])
pred = numpy.append(pred, m[0])
E = numpy.sum(numpy.not_equal(pred, y_test))/ y_test.shape[0]
return E
# Errors calculation
E1 = ensemble_average(all_models);
E2 = ensemble_vote(all_models);

Related

How to handle imbalanced multi-label dataset?

I am currently trying to train an image classification model using Pytorch densenet121 with 4 labels (A, B, C, D). I have 224000 images and each image is labeled in the form of [1, 0, 0, 1] (Label A and D are present in the image). I have replaced the last dense layer of densenet121. The model is trained using Adam optimizer, LR of 0.0001 (with the decay of a factor of 10 per epoch), and trained for 4 epochs. I will try more epochs after I am confident that the class imbalanced issue is resolved.
The estimated number of positive classes is [19000, 65000, 38000, 105000] respectively. When I trained the model without class balancing and weights (with BCELoss), I have a very low recall for label A and C (in fact the True Positive TP and False Positive FP is less than 20)
I have tried 3 approaches to deal with the class imbalance after an extensive search on Google and Stackoverflow.
Approach 1: Class weights
I have tried to implement class weights by using the ratio of negative samples to positive samples.
y = train_df[CLASSES];
pos_weight = (y==0).sum()/(y==1).sum()
pos_weight = torch.Tensor(pos_weight)
if torch.cuda.is_available():
pos_weight = pos_weight.cuda()
criterion = nn.BCEWithLogitsLoss(pos_weight=pos_weight)
The resultant class weights are [10.79, 2.45, 4.90, 1.13]. I am getting the opposite effect; having too many positive predictions which result in low precision.
Approach 2: Changing logic for class weights
I have also tried to get class weights by getting the proportion of the positive samples in the dataset and getting the inverse. The resultant class weights are [11.95, 3.49, 5.97, 2.16]. I am still getting too many positive predictions.
class_dist = y.apply(pd.Series.value_counts)
class_dist_norm = class_dist.loc[1.0]/class_dist.loc[1.0].sum()
pos_weight = 1/class_dist_norm
Approach 3: Focal Loss
I have also tried Focal Loss with the following implementation (but still getting too many positive predictions). I have used the class weights for the alpha parameter. This is referenced from https://gist.github.com/f1recracker/0f564fd48f15a58f4b92b3eb3879149b but I made some modifications to suit my use case better.
class FocalLoss(nn.CrossEntropyLoss):
''' Focal loss for classification tasks on imbalanced datasets '''
def __init__(self, alpha=None, gamma=1.5, ignore_index=-100, reduction='mean', epsilon=1e-6):
super().__init__(weight=alpha, ignore_index=ignore_index, reduction='mean')
self.reduction = reduction
self.gamma = gamma
self.epsilon = epsilon
self.alpha = alpha
def forward(self, input_, target):
# cross_entropy = super().forward(input_, target)
# Temporarily mask out ignore index to '0' for valid gather-indices input.
# This won't contribute final loss as the cross_entropy contribution
# for these would be zero.
target = target * (target != self.ignore_index).long()
# p_t = p if target = 1, p_t = (1-p) if target = 0, where p is the probability of predicting target = 1
p_t = input_ * target + (1 - input_) * (1 - target)
# Loss = -(alpha)( 1 - p_t)^gamma log(p_t), where -log(p_t) is cross entropy => loss = (alpha)(1-p_t)^gamma * cross_entropy (Epsilon added to prevent error with log(0) when class probability is 0)
if self.alpha != None:
loss = -1 * self.alpha * torch.pow(1 - p_t, self.gamma) * torch.log(p_t + self.epsilon)
else:
loss = -1 * torch.pow(1 - p_t, self.gamma) * torch.log(p_t + self.epsilon)
if self.reduction == 'mean':
return torch.mean(loss)
elif self.reduction == 'sum':
return torch.sum(loss)
else:
return loss
One thing to note is that the loss using stagnant after the first epoch, but the metrics varied between epochs.
I have considered undersampling and oversampling but I am unsure of how to proceed due to the fact that each image can have more than 1 label. One possible method is to oversample images with only 1 label by replicating them. But I am concerned that the model will only generalize on images with 1 label but perform poorly on images with multiple labels.
Therefore I would like to ask if there are methods that I should try, or did I make any mistakes in my approaches.
Any advice will be greatly appreciated.
Thank you!

Naive Bayes classifier performance is unexpected

I have just started using the Naive Bayes for text classification. I have coded it from the pseudo code snapshot attached.
I have two classes i.e. positive and negative. I have total of 2000 samples(IMDB Movie Reviews) out of which 1800 (900 positive, 900 negative) are used to train the classifier whereas 200 (100 negative, 100 positive) are used to test the system.
It marks the positive class documents but failed for classifying negative class documents propely. All documents belonging from negative classes are misclassified into positive class and thereby give accuracy of 50%.
If i documents from each class individually like first test all document belonging from negative classes and then from positive test samples then it give me accuracy of 100% but when i feed it mixed test samples it fails and classify all in one class (in my case positive).
Is there any mistake i am doing or is unavailable in this algorithm ?
Are training sample too less and classifier performance will increase upon increase training samples?
I have tested same samples with weka and rapid miner both are giving much better accuracy. I know that i have made a mistake but what is that i can't grab it ?Its the most simple one in understanding but accuracy result was totally unexpected and driving me crazy.Here is my code algorithm pseudo code. I have generating document vector using tf-idf for term weighting and document vector is used for calculations.
TrainMultinomialNB(C, D)
1. V = ExtractVocabulary(D)
2. N = CountDocs(D)
3. For each c E C
4. Do Nc = CountDocsInClass (D, c)
5. Prior[c] = Nc/N
6. Textc = ConcatenateTextOfAllDocsInClass (D,c)
7. For each t E V
8. Do Tct = CountTokensOfTerm(textc, t)
9. For each t E V
10. Do condprob[t][c] = (Tct + 1) /(Sum(Tct) + |V|)
11. Return V, prior, condprob
ApplyMultinomialNB(C, V, prior, condprob, d)
1. W = ExtractTokensFromDoc (V, d)
2. For each c E C
3. Do score [c] = log (prior)
4. For each t E W
5. Do score [c] + = log (condprob[t][c])
6. Return argmax(cEC) score [c]

How should I teach machine learning algorithm using data with big disproportion of classes? (SVM)

I am trying to teach my SVM algorithm using data of clicks and conversion by people who see the banners. The main problem is that the clicks is around 0.2% of all data so it's big disproportion in it. When I use simple SVM in testing phase it always predict only "view" class and never "click" or "conversion". In average it gives 99.8% right answers (because of disproportion), but it gives 0% right prediction if you check "click" or "conversion" ones. How can you tune the SVM algorithm (or select another one) to take into consideration the disproportion?
The most basic approach here is to use so called "class weighting scheme" - in classical SVM formulation there is a C parameter used to control the missclassification count. It can be changed into C1 and C2 parameters used for class 1 and 2 respectively. The most common choice of C1 and C2 for a given C is to put
C1 = C / n1
C2 = C / n2
where n1 and n2 are sizes of class 1 and 2 respectively. So you "punish" SVM for missclassifing the less frequent class much harder then for missclassification the most common one.
Many existing libraries (like libSVM) supports this mechanism with class_weight parameters.
Example using python and sklearn
print __doc__
import numpy as np
import pylab as pl
from sklearn import svm
# we create 40 separable points
rng = np.random.RandomState(0)
n_samples_1 = 1000
n_samples_2 = 100
X = np.r_[1.5 * rng.randn(n_samples_1, 2),
0.5 * rng.randn(n_samples_2, 2) + [2, 2]]
y = [0] * (n_samples_1) + [1] * (n_samples_2)
# fit the model and get the separating hyperplane
clf = svm.SVC(kernel='linear', C=1.0)
clf.fit(X, y)
w = clf.coef_[0]
a = -w[0] / w[1]
xx = np.linspace(-5, 5)
yy = a * xx - clf.intercept_[0] / w[1]
# get the separating hyperplane using weighted classes
wclf = svm.SVC(kernel='linear', class_weight={1: 10})
wclf.fit(X, y)
ww = wclf.coef_[0]
wa = -ww[0] / ww[1]
wyy = wa * xx - wclf.intercept_[0] / ww[1]
# plot separating hyperplanes and samples
h0 = pl.plot(xx, yy, 'k-', label='no weights')
h1 = pl.plot(xx, wyy, 'k--', label='with weights')
pl.scatter(X[:, 0], X[:, 1], c=y, cmap=pl.cm.Paired)
pl.legend()
pl.axis('tight')
pl.show()
In particular, in sklearn you can simply turn on the automatic weighting by setting class_weight='auto'.
This paper describes a variety of techniques. One simple (but very bad method for SVM) is just replicating the minority class(s) until you have a balance:
http://www.ele.uri.edu/faculty/he/PDFfiles/ImbalancedLearning.pdf

Issue in training hidden markov model and usage for classification

I am having a tough time in figuring out how to use Kevin Murphy's
HMM toolbox Toolbox. It would be a great help if anyone who has an experience with it could clarify some conceptual questions. I have somehow understood the theory behind HMM but it's confusing how to actually implement it and mention all the parameter setting.
There are 2 classes so we need 2 HMMs.
Let say the training vectors are :class1 O1={ 4 3 5 1 2} and class O_2={ 1 4 3 2 4}.
Now,the system has to classify an unknown sequence O3={1 3 2 4 4} as either class1 or class2.
What is going to go in obsmat0 and obsmat1?
How to specify/syntax for the transition probability transmat0 and transmat1?
what is the variable data going to be in this case?
Would number of states Q=5 since there are five unique numbers/symbols used?
Number of output symbols=5 ?
How do I mention the transition probabilities transmat0 and transmat1?
Instead of answering each individual question, let me illustrate how to use the HMM toolbox with an example -- the weather example which is usually used when introducing hidden markov models.
Basically the states of the model are the three possible types of weather: sunny, rainy and foggy. At any given day, we assume the weather can be only one of these values. Thus the set of HMM states are:
S = {sunny, rainy, foggy}
However in this example, we can't observe the weather directly (apparently we are locked in the basement!). Instead the only evidence we have is whether the person who checks on you every day is carrying an umbrella or not. In HMM terminology, these are the discrete observations:
x = {umbrella, no umbrella}
The HMM model is characterized by three things:
The prior probabilities: vector of probabilities of being in the first state of a sequence.
The transition prob: matrix describing the probabilities of going from one state of weather to another.
The emission prob: matrix describing the probabilities of observing an output (umbrella or not) given a state (weather).
Next we are either given the these probabilities, or we have to learn them from a training set. Once that's done, we can do reasoning like computing likelihood of an observation sequence with respect to an HMM model (or a bunch of models, and pick the most likely one)...
1) known model parameters
Here is a sample code that shows how to fill existing probabilities to build the model:
Q = 3; %# number of states (sun,rain,fog)
O = 2; %# number of discrete observations (umbrella, no umbrella)
%# prior probabilities
prior = [1 0 0];
%# state transition matrix (1: sun, 2: rain, 3:fog)
A = [0.8 0.05 0.15; 0.2 0.6 0.2; 0.2 0.3 0.5];
%# observation emission matrix (1: umbrella, 2: no umbrella)
B = [0.1 0.9; 0.8 0.2; 0.3 0.7];
Then we can sample a bunch of sequences from this model:
num = 20; %# 20 sequences
T = 10; %# each of length 10 (days)
[seqs,states] = dhmm_sample(prior, A, B, num, T);
for example, the 5th example was:
>> seqs(5,:) %# observation sequence
ans =
2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2
>> states(5,:) %# hidden states sequence
ans =
1 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
we can evaluate the log-likelihood of the sequence:
dhmm_logprob(seqs(5,:), prior, A, B)
dhmm_logprob_path(prior, A, B, states(5,:))
or compute the Viterbi path (most probable state sequence):
vPath = viterbi_path(prior, A, multinomial_prob(seqs(5,:),B))
2) unknown model parameters
Training is performed using the EM algorithm, and is best done with a set of observation sequences.
Continuing on the same example, we can use the generated data above to train a new model and compare it to the original:
%# we start with a randomly initialized model
prior_hat = normalise(rand(Q,1));
A_hat = mk_stochastic(rand(Q,Q));
B_hat = mk_stochastic(rand(Q,O));
%# learn from data by performing many iterations of EM
[LL,prior_hat,A_hat,B_hat] = dhmm_em(seqs, prior_hat,A_hat,B_hat, 'max_iter',50);
%# plot learning curve
plot(LL), xlabel('iterations'), ylabel('log likelihood'), grid on
Keep in mind that the states order don't have to match. That's why we need to permute the states before comparing the two models. In this example, the trained model looks close to the original one:
>> p = [2 3 1]; %# states permutation
>> prior, prior_hat(p)
prior =
1 0 0
ans =
0.97401
7.5499e-005
0.02591
>> A, A_hat(p,p)
A =
0.8 0.05 0.15
0.2 0.6 0.2
0.2 0.3 0.5
ans =
0.75967 0.05898 0.18135
0.037482 0.77118 0.19134
0.22003 0.53381 0.24616
>> B, B_hat(p,[1 2])
B =
0.1 0.9
0.8 0.2
0.3 0.7
ans =
0.11237 0.88763
0.72839 0.27161
0.25889 0.74111
There are more things you can do with hidden markov models such as classification or pattern recognition. You would have different sets of obervation sequences belonging to different classes. You start by training a model for each set. Then given a new observation sequence, you could classify it by computing its likelihood with respect to each model, and predict the model with the highest log-likelihood.
argmax[ log P(X|model_i) ] over all model_i
I do not use the toolbox that you mention, but I do use HTK. There is a book that describes the function of HTK very clearly, available for free
http://htk.eng.cam.ac.uk/docs/docs.shtml
The introductory chapters might help you understanding.
I can have a quick attempt at answering #4 on your list. . .
The number of emitting states is linked to the length and complexity of your feature vectors. However, it certainly does not have to equal the length of the array of feature vectors, as each emitting state can have a transition probability of going back into itself or even back to a previous state depending on the architecture. I'm also not sure if the value that you give includes the non-emitting states at the start and the end of the hmm, but these need to be considered also. Choosing the number of states often comes down to trial and error.
Good luck!

How to do multi class classification using Support Vector Machines (SVM)

In every book and example always they show only binary classification (two classes) and new vector can belong to any one class.
Here the problem is I have 4 classes(c1, c2, c3, c4). I've training data for 4 classes.
For new vector the output should be like
C1 80% (the winner)
c2 10%
c3 6%
c4 4%
How to do this? I'm planning to use libsvm (because it most popular). I don't know much about it. If any of you guys used it previously please tell me specific commands I'm supposed to use.
LibSVM uses the one-against-one approach for multi-class learning problems. From the FAQ:
Q: What method does libsvm use for multi-class SVM ? Why don't you use the "1-against-the rest" method ?
It is one-against-one. We chose it after doing the following comparison: C.-W. Hsu and C.-J. Lin. A comparison of methods for multi-class support vector machines, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 13(2002), 415-425.
"1-against-the rest" is a good method whose performance is comparable to "1-against-1." We do the latter simply because its training time is shorter.
Commonly used methods are One vs. Rest and One vs. One.
In the first method you get n classifiers and the resulting class will have the highest score.
In the second method the resulting class is obtained by majority votes of all classifiers.
AFAIR, libsvm supports both strategies of multiclass classification.
You can always reduce a multi-class classification problem to a binary problem by choosing random partititions of the set of classes, recursively. This is not necessarily any less effective or efficient than learning all at once, since the sub-learning problems require less examples since the partitioning problem is smaller. (It may require at most a constant order time more, e.g. twice as long). It may also lead to more accurate learning.
I'm not necessarily recommending this, but it is one answer to your question, and is a general technique that can be applied to any binary learning algorithm.
Use the SVM Multiclass library. Find it at the SVM page by Thorsten Joachims
It does not have a specific switch (command) for multi-class prediction. it automatically handles multi-class prediction if your training dataset contains more than two classes.
Nothing special compared with binary prediction. see the following example for 3-class prediction based on SVM.
install.packages("e1071")
library("e1071")
data(iris)
attach(iris)
## classification mode
# default with factor response:
model <- svm(Species ~ ., data = iris)
# alternatively the traditional interface:
x <- subset(iris, select = -Species)
y <- Species
model <- svm(x, y)
print(model)
summary(model)
# test with train data
pred <- predict(model, x)
# (same as:)
pred <- fitted(model)
# Check accuracy:
table(pred, y)
# compute decision values and probabilities:
pred <- predict(model, x, decision.values = TRUE)
attr(pred, "decision.values")[1:4,]
# visualize (classes by color, SV by crosses):
plot(cmdscale(dist(iris[,-5])),
col = as.integer(iris[,5]),
pch = c("o","+")[1:150 %in% model$index + 1])
data=load('E:\dataset\scene_categories\all_dataset.mat');
meas = data.all_dataset;
species = data.dataset_label;
[g gn] = grp2idx(species); %# nominal class to numeric
%# split training/testing sets
[trainIdx testIdx] = crossvalind('HoldOut', species, 1/10);
%# 1-vs-1 pairwise models
num_labels = length(gn);
clear gn;
num_classifiers = num_labels*(num_labels-1)/2;
pairwise = zeros(num_classifiers ,2);
row_end = 0;
for i=1:num_labels - 1
row_start = row_end + 1;
row_end = row_start + num_labels - i -1;
pairwise(row_start : row_end, 1) = i;
count = 0;
for j = i+1 : num_labels
pairwise( row_start + count , 2) = j;
count = count + 1;
end
end
clear row_start row_end count i j num_labels num_classifiers;
svmModel = cell(size(pairwise,1),1); %# store binary-classifers
predTest = zeros(sum(testIdx),numel(svmModel)); %# store binary predictions
%# classify using one-against-one approach, SVM with 3rd degree poly kernel
for k=1:numel(svmModel)
%# get only training instances belonging to this pair
idx = trainIdx & any( bsxfun(#eq, g, pairwise(k,:)) , 2 );
%# train
svmModel{k} = svmtrain(meas(idx,:), g(idx), ...
'Autoscale',true, 'Showplot',false, 'Method','QP', ...
'BoxConstraint',2e-1, 'Kernel_Function','rbf', 'RBF_Sigma',1);
%# test
predTest(:,k) = svmclassify(svmModel{k}, meas(testIdx,:));
end
pred = mode(predTest,2); %# voting: clasify as the class receiving most votes
%# performance
cmat = confusionmat(g(testIdx),pred);
acc = 100*sum(diag(cmat))./sum(cmat(:));
fprintf('SVM (1-against-1):\naccuracy = %.2f%%\n', acc);
fprintf('Confusion Matrix:\n'), disp(cmat)
For multi class classification using SVM;
It is NOT (one vs one) and NOT (one vs REST).
Instead learn a two-class classifier where the feature vector is (x, y) where x is data and y is the correct label associated with the data.
The training gap is the Difference between the value for the correct class and the value of the nearest other class.
At Inference choose the "y" that has the maximum
value of (x,y).
y = arg_max(y') W.(x,y') [W is the weight vector and (x,y) is the feature Vector]
Please Visit link:
https://nlp.stanford.edu/IR-book/html/htmledition/multiclass-svms-1.html#:~:text=It%20is%20also%20a%20simple,the%20label%20of%20structural%20SVMs%20.

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