Am trying to solve the question:
A person might or might not like steaks, but that statistically depends on the person's age, ethnicity, gender, etc. A steak loving person might like their steaks from 0% cooked to 100% cooked, and seasoned with an arbitrary amount of salt. All these also depends on the person's age, ethnicity, gender, etc.
I want ML to predict the following:
Given a person's age, ethnicity, gender, etc, whether this person will like steaks or not. And if they like steaks, how they want their steaks to be cooked, and how much salt they will like to put on their steak.
I realize I can break this problem down into two neural networks, one binary classification and one multidimensional regression.
The first network will answer if the person likes steaks or not. If the person doesn't like steaks at all, there is no point generating outputs for the second network. But if the answer is yes, I can feed the subset of the dataset to the second network, then it will answer the whats.
However, what I don't understand is:
Is it possible to chain the two networks together to form a single network? In a sense the output contains a Yes/No answer plus the answers for the regression network.
If answer is yes, is it faster than running two separate networks considering the dataset to the second network might be smaller?
Again, if answer is yes, how do I go about to implement this? Using 2 hidden layers with different loss functions? How many nodes for each layer? What is the activation function for each layer?
I haven't tried that myself yet, but you can try and let us know if it is going to work.
As meat can cooked from 0% to 100% (although not sure who would eat steak raw) but I would use regression to estimate steak with from -1 to 100, where -1 means does not like steak at all and all other numbers how much they want it cooked
Hmmm, Interesting problem.
This is not a two classification + regression problem, it is a classification + optimisation model.
You need to build a model which will be able to predict if he likes the steak or not. Then you will try to maximum the probability of he liking steak by using the above machine learning as function you by tuning variables(cooking level, spice etc). This can be a generic brute force or a proper optimisation problem.
To answer to you questions:
You should better use a pipeline in your case, with two algorithms : a binary classification algorithm first, and then a prediction algorithm. Splitting a problem into two distinct parts, when possible, is good practice, and provide better results.
Several points to mark here :
First of all, neural networks do NOT work for every machine learning problem. Here for example you should better use other algorithms.
For the binary classification (i.e. like or does not like steaks), I would not use neural networks but rather SVM or Logistic Regression (SVM is good for binary classification).
For the second part, you need to find values (i.e. how much salt people use, what percentage of cooking they prefer), so you should use a prediction algorithm, and not neural network, which is a classification one. Try to apply Linear Regression here.
For more information see the ML course on Coursera here, see Week5 and Week9.
Related
I’m very new to machine learning.
I have a dataset with data given me by a f1 race. User is playing this game and is giving me this dataset.
With machine learning, I have to work with this data and when a user (I know they are 10) plays a game I have to recognize who’s playing.
The data consists of datagram packet occurred in 1/10 second freq, the packets contains the following Time, laptime, lapdistance, totaldistance, speed, car position, traction control, last lap time, fuel, gear,..
I’ve thought to use a kmeans used in a supervised way.
Which algorithm could be better?
The task must be a multiclass classification. The very first step in any machine learning activity is to define a score metric (https://machinelearningmastery.com/classification-accuracy-is-not-enough-more-performance-measures-you-can-use/). That allows you to compare models between themselves and decide which is better. Then build a base model with random forest or/and logistic regression as suggested in another answer - they perform well out-of-the-box. Then try to play with features and understand which of them are more informative. And don't forget about a visualizations - they give many hints for data wrangling, etc.
this is somewhat a broad question, so I'll try my best
kmeans is unsupervised algorithm meaning it will find the classes itself and it best used when you know there are multiple classes but you don't know what exactly they are... using it with labeled data just means you will compute the distance of new vector v to each vector in the dataset and pick the one (or ones using majority vote) which give the min distance , this is not considered as machine learning
in this case when you do have the labels, supervised approach will yield much better results
I suggest try random forest and logistic regression at first, those are the most basic and common algorithms and they give pretty good results
if you haven't achieve the desired accuracy you can use deep learning and build a neural network with input layer as big as your packet's values and output layer of the number of classes, in between you can use one or multiple hidden layers with various nodes, but this is advanced approach and you better pick up some experience in machine learning field before pursue it
Note: the data is a time series, meaning that every driver has it's own behaviour of driving a car, so data should be considered as bulks of points, with this you can apply pattern matching technics, also there are a several neural networks build exactly for this data (like RNN) but this is far far advanced and much more difficult to implement
I have a dataset of approx. 4800 rows with 22 attributes, all numerical, describing mostly the geometry of rock / minerals, and 3 different classes.
I tried out a cross validation with k-nn Model inside it, with k= 7 and Numerical Measure -> Camberra Distance as parameters set..and I got a performance of 82.53% and 0.673 kappa. Is that result representative for the dataset? I mean 82% is quite ok..
Before doing this, I evaluated the best subset of attributes with a decision table, I got out 6 different attributes for that.
the problem is, you still don't learn much from that kind of models, like instance-based k-nn. Can I get any more insight from knn? I don't know how to visualize the clusters in that high dimensional space in Rapidminer, is that somehow possible?
I tried decision tree on the data, but I got too much branches (300 or so) and it looked all too messy, the problem is, all numerical attributes have about the same mean and distribution, therefore its hard to get a distinct subset of meaningful attributes...
ideally, the staff wants to "Learn" something about the data, but my impression is, that you cannot learn much meaningful of that data, all that works best is "Blackbox" Learning models like Neural Nets, SVM, and those other instance-based models...
how should I proceed?
Welcome to the world of machine learning! This sounds like a classic real-world case: we want to make firm conclusions, but the data rows don't cooperate. :-)
Your goal is vague: "learn something"? I'm taking this to mean that you're investigating, hoping to find quantitative discriminations among the three classes.
First of all, I highly recommend Principal Component Analysis (PCA): find out whether you can eliminate some of these attributes by automated matrix operations, rather than a hand-built decision table. I expect that the messy branches are due to unfortunate choice of factors; decision trees work very hard at over-fitting. :-)
How clean are the separations of the data sets? Since you already used Knn, I'm hopeful that you have dense clusters with gaps. If so, perhaps a spectral clustering would help; these methods are good at classifying data based on gaps between the clusters, even if the cluster shapes aren't spherical. Interpretation depends on having someone on staff who can read eigenvectors, to interpret what the values mean.
Try a multi-class SVM. Start with 3 classes, but increase if necessary until your 3 expected classes appear. (Sometimes you get one tiny outlier class, and then two major ones get combined.) The resulting kernel functions and the placement of the gaps can teach you something about your data.
Try the Naive Bayes family, especially if you observe that the features come from a Gaussian or Bernoulli distribution.
As a holistic approach, try a neural net, but use something to visualize the neurons and weights. Letting the human visual cortex play with relationships can help extract subtle relationships.
When I see machine learning, specially the classification, I find that some algorithm are designed to classify , for example, the Decision tree, to classify without the consideration as described next:
For a two categories problem, category A and B, people are interested in a special one, for example the category A. For this case, assume that we have 100 for A and 1000 for B. A good classify may have a result that mixed 100A and 100B as a part and let 900B another part. This is good for classify . But is there a algorithm can pick, for example , 50A and 5 B to a part and 50 A and 995 B for another part. This may not so good as a view of classify, but if some one is interested in category A, I think that next algorithm can give a more pure A result so it is better.
In short, it means is there a algorithm can pure a special category, not to classify them with no bias?
If scikit-learn have included this algorithm, it is be better.
Look into a matching algorithm such as the "Stable Marriage Problem."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stable_marriage_problem
If I understand you correctly, I think you're asking for a machine learning algorithm that gives a higher weight to certain classes and are therefore proportionally more likely to predict those "special" classes.
If that's what you're asking, you could use any algorithm that outputs a probability of each class during prediction. I think most algorithms take that approach actually, but I know specifically that neural nets do. Then, you can either train the network on proportionally more data on the "special" classes, or manually post-process the prediction output (the array of probabilities of each class) to adapt the probabilities to your specification.
I am new in machine learning. My problem is to make a machine to select a university for the student according to his location and area of interest. i.e it should select the university in the same city as in the address of the student. I am confused in selection of the algorithm can I use Perceptron algorithm for this task.
There are no hard rules as to which machine learning algorithm is the best for which task. Your best bet is to try several and see which one achieves the best results. You can use the Weka toolkit, which implements a lot of different machine learning algorithms. And yes, you can use the perceptron algorithm for your problem -- but that is not to say that you would achieve good results with it.
From your description it sounds like the problem you're trying to solve doesn't really require machine learning. If all you want to do is match a student with the closest university that offers a course in the student's area of interest, you can do this without any learning.
I second the first remark that you probably don't need machine learning if the student has to live in the same area as the university. If you want to use an ML algorithm, maybe it would best to think about what data you would have to start with. The thing that comes to mind is a vector for a university that has certain subjects/areas for each feature. Then compute a distance from a vector which is like an ideal feature vector for the student. Minimize this distance.
The first and formost thing you need is a labeled dataset.
It sounds like the problem could be decomposed into a ML problem however you first need a set of positive and negative examples to train from.
How big is your dataset? What features do you have available? Once you answer these questions you can select an algorithm that bests fits the features of your data.
I would suggest using decision trees for this problem which resembles a set of if else rules. You can just take the location and area of interest of the student as conditions of if and else if statements and then suggest a university for him. Since its a direct mapping of inputs to outputs, rule based solution would work and there is no learning required here.
Maybe you can use a "recommender system"or a clustering approach , you can investigate more deeply the techniques like "collaborative filtering"(recommender system) or k-means(clustering) but again, as some people said, first you need data to learn from, and maybe your problem can be solved without ML.
Well, there is no straightforward and sure-shot answer to this question. The answer depends on many factors like the problem statement and the kind of output you want, type and size of the data, the available computational time, number of features, and observations in the data, to name a few.
Size of the training data
Accuracy and/or Interpretability of the output
Accuracy of a model means that the function predicts a response value for a given observation, which is close to the true response value for that observation. A highly interpretable algorithm (restrictive models like Linear Regression) means that one can easily understand how any individual predictor is associated with the response while the flexible models give higher accuracy at the cost of low interpretability.
Speed or Training time
Higher accuracy typically means higher training time. Also, algorithms require more time to train on large training data. In real-world applications, the choice of algorithm is driven by these two factors predominantly.
Algorithms like Naïve Bayes and Linear and Logistic regression are easy to implement and quick to run. Algorithms like SVM, which involve tuning of parameters, Neural networks with high convergence time, and random forests, need a lot of time to train the data.
Linearity
Many algorithms work on the assumption that classes can be separated by a straight line (or its higher-dimensional analog). Examples include logistic regression and support vector machines. Linear regression algorithms assume that data trends follow a straight line. If the data is linear, then these algorithms perform quite good.
Number of features
The dataset may have a large number of features that may not all be relevant and significant. For a certain type of data, such as genetics or textual, the number of features can be very large compared to the number of data points.
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Suppose I'm working on some classification problem. (Fraud detection and comment spam are two problems I'm working on right now, but I'm curious about any classification task in general.)
How do I know which classifier I should use?
Decision tree
SVM
Bayesian
Neural network
K-nearest neighbors
Q-learning
Genetic algorithm
Markov decision processes
Convolutional neural networks
Linear regression or logistic regression
Boosting, bagging, ensambling
Random hill climbing or simulated annealing
...
In which cases is one of these the "natural" first choice, and what are the principles for choosing that one?
Examples of the type of answers I'm looking for (from Manning et al.'s Introduction to Information Retrieval book):
a. If your data is labeled, but you only have a limited amount, you should use a classifier with high bias (for example, Naive Bayes).
I'm guessing this is because a higher-bias classifier will have lower variance, which is good because of the small amount of data.
b. If you have a ton of data, then the classifier doesn't really matter so much, so you should probably just choose a classifier with good scalability.
What are other guidelines? Even answers like "if you'll have to explain your model to some upper management person, then maybe you should use a decision tree, since the decision rules are fairly transparent" are good. I care less about implementation/library issues, though.
Also, for a somewhat separate question, besides standard Bayesian classifiers, are there 'standard state-of-the-art' methods for comment spam detection (as opposed to email spam)?
First of all, you need to identify your problem. It depends upon what kind of data you have and what your desired task is.
If you are Predicting Category :
You have Labeled Data
You need to follow Classification Approach and its algorithms
You don't have Labeled Data
You need to go for Clustering Approach
If you are Predicting Quantity :
You need to go for Regression Approach
Otherwise
You can go for Dimensionality Reduction Approach
There are different algorithms within each approach mentioned above. The choice of a particular algorithm depends upon the size of the dataset.
Source: http://scikit-learn.org/stable/tutorial/machine_learning_map/
Model selection using cross validation may be what you need.
Cross validation
What you do is simply to split your dataset into k non-overlapping subsets (folds), train a model using k-1 folds and predict its performance using the fold you left out. This you do for each possible combination of folds (first leave 1st fold out, then 2nd, ... , then kth, and train with the remaining folds). After finishing, you estimate the mean performance of all folds (maybe also the variance/standard deviation of the performance).
How to choose the parameter k depends on the time you have. Usual values for k are 3, 5, 10 or even N, where N is the size of your data (that's the same as leave-one-out cross validation). I prefer 5 or 10.
Model selection
Let's say you have 5 methods (ANN, SVM, KNN, etc) and 10 parameter combinations for each method (depending on the method). You simply have to run cross validation for each method and parameter combination (5 * 10 = 50) and select the best model, method and parameters. Then you re-train with the best method and parameters on all your data and you have your final model.
There are some more things to say. If, for example, you use a lot of methods and parameter combinations for each, it's very likely you will overfit. In cases like these, you have to use nested cross validation.
Nested cross validation
In nested cross validation, you perform cross validation on the model selection algorithm.
Again, you first split your data into k folds. After each step, you choose k-1 as your training data and the remaining one as your test data. Then you run model selection (the procedure I explained above) for each possible combination of those k folds. After finishing this, you will have k models, one for each combination of folds. After that, you test each model with the remaining test data and choose the best one. Again, after having the last model you train a new one with the same method and parameters on all the data you have. That's your final model.
Of course, there are many variations of these methods and other things I didn't mention. If you need more information about these look for some publications about these topics.
The book "OpenCV" has a great two pages on this on pages 462-463. Searching the Amazon preview for the word "discriminative" (probably google books also) will let you see the pages in question. These two pages are the greatest gem I have found in this book.
In short:
Boosting - often effective when a large amount of training data is available.
Random trees - often very effective and can also perform regression.
K-nearest neighbors - simplest thing you can do, often effective but slow and requires lots of memory.
Neural networks - Slow to train but very fast to run, still optimal performer for letter recognition.
SVM - Among the best with limited data, but losing against boosting or random trees only when large data sets are available.
Things you might consider in choosing which algorithm to use would include:
Do you need to train incrementally (as opposed to batched)?
If you need to update your classifier with new data frequently (or you have tons of data), you'll probably want to use Bayesian. Neural nets and SVM need to work on the training data in one go.
Is your data composed of categorical only, or numeric only, or both?
I think Bayesian works best with categorical/binomial data. Decision trees can't predict numerical values.
Does you or your audience need to understand how the classifier works?
Use Bayesian or decision trees, since these can be easily explained to most people. Neural networks and SVM are "black boxes" in the sense that you can't really see how they are classifying data.
How much classification speed do you need?
SVM's are fast when it comes to classifying since they only need to determine which side of the "line" your data is on. Decision trees can be slow especially when they're complex (e.g. lots of branches).
Complexity.
Neural nets and SVMs can handle complex non-linear classification.
As Prof Andrew Ng often states: always begin by implementing a rough, dirty algorithm, and then iteratively refine it.
For classification, Naive Bayes is a good starter, as it has good performances, is highly scalable and can adapt to almost any kind of classification task. Also 1NN (K-Nearest Neighbours with only 1 neighbour) is a no-hassle best fit algorithm (because the data will be the model, and thus you don't have to care about the dimensionality fit of your decision boundary), the only issue is the computation cost (quadratic because you need to compute the distance matrix, so it may not be a good fit for high dimensional data).
Another good starter algorithm is the Random Forests (composed of decision trees), this is highly scalable to any number of dimensions and has generally quite acceptable performances. Then finally, there are genetic algorithms, which scale admirably well to any dimension and any data with minimal knowledge of the data itself, with the most minimal and simplest implementation being the microbial genetic algorithm (only one line of C code! by Inman Harvey in 1996), and one of the most complex being CMA-ES and MOGA/e-MOEA.
And remember that, often, you can't really know what will work best on your data before you try the algorithms for real.
As a side-note, if you want a theoretical framework to test your hypothesis and algorithms theoretical performances for a given problem, you can use the PAC (Probably approximately correct) learning framework (beware: it's very abstract and complex!), but to summary, the gist of PAC learning says that you should use the less complex, but complex enough (complexity being the maximum dimensionality that the algo can fit) algorithm that can fit your data. In other words, use the Occam's razor.
Sam Roweis used to say that you should try naive Bayes, logistic regression, k-nearest neighbour and Fisher's linear discriminant before anything else.
My take on it is that you always run the basic classifiers first to get some sense of your data. More often than not (in my experience at least) they've been good enough.
So, if you have supervised data, train a Naive Bayes classifier. If you have unsupervised data, you can try k-means clustering.
Another resource is one of the lecture videos of the series of videos Stanford Machine Learning, which I watched a while back. In video 4 or 5, I think, the lecturer discusses some generally accepted conventions when training classifiers, advantages/tradeoffs, etc.
You should always keep into account the inference vs prediction trade-off.
If you want to understand the complex relationship that is occurring in your data then you should go with a rich inference algorithm (e.g. linear regression or lasso). On the other hand, if you are only interested in the result you can go with high dimensional and more complex (but less interpretable) algorithms, like neural networks.
Selection of Algorithm is depending upon the scenario and the type and size of data set.
There are many other factors.
This is a brief cheat sheet for basic machine learning.