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I'm new to machine learning and trying to figure out where to start and how to apply it to my app.
My app is pulling a bunch of health metrics and based on all of them is suggesting a dose of medication (some abstract medication, doesn't matter) to take. Taking a medication is affecting health metrics and I can see if my suggestion was right of if it needs adjustments to be more precise the next time. Medications are being taken constantly so I have a lot of results and data to work with.
Does that seem like a good case for machine learning and using some of neural networks to train and make better predictions? If so - could you recommend an example for Tensorflow or Keras?
So far I only found image recognition examples and not sure how to apply similar algorithms to my problem.
I'm also a beginner into machine learning, but based on my knowledge, one way would be to use supervised learning with Keras, which uses Tensorflow as a backend. Keras is a lot easier to program than Tensorflow, but eventually Tensorflow might as well do the trick (depending on your familiarity with machine learning libraries).
You mentioned that your algorithm suggests medication based on data (from the patient).
One way to predict medication is to store all your preexisting data in a CSV file, and use the CSV module to read it. This tutorial covers the basics of reading CSV files (https://pythonprogramming.net/reading-csv-files-python-3/).
Next, you can store the data in a multi-dimensional array, and run a neural network through it. Just make sure that you have sufficiently enough data (the more the better) in comparison with the size of your neural network.
Another way, as you mentioned, would be using Convolutional Neural Networks, which theoretically could and should work, but I have very little experience programming them, so I'm afraid I can't give you any advice for that (you can program CNNs in both Keras and Tensorflow).
I do wish you good luck in your project!
I am going to do a research project which involves predicting imminent failure of an engine using time data obtained from sensors. The data basically contains the readings of various embedded sensors every 10 minutes for many months. Such data is available for about 100 or so different units (all are the same engine model), along with the time of failure.
While I do have a reasonably good understanding of Machine Learning, I am at a loss of approaching this. I have done a few projects that involved static datasets (using SVMs, Neural Nets, Logistic Regression etc.) and even one on predicting time series. But this is quite different. While the project involves time data, it is hardly a matter of predicting the future values. Rather it is a case of anomaly detection on sequential time data.
Please could you give some ideas as to how I could approach it?
I'm particularly interested in Neural Networks/ Deep Learning, so any ideas on using them for this task would also be welcome. I would prefer to use Python or R, although I would be open to using something else if it was particularly geared for this sort of task.
Also could you give me some formal terms using which I could search for relevant literature?
Thanks
As a general comment, try hard to express everything that you know about the physical system in a model, then use that model for inference. I worked on such problems in my dissertation: Unified Prediction and Diagnosis in Engineering Systems by means of Distributed Belief Networks (see chapter 6). I can say more if you provide additional details about your problem domain.
Don't expect general machine learning models (neural networks, SVM, etc) to figure out the structure of the problem for you. Having the right form of the model is much, much more important than having a general model + lots of data -- this is the summary of my experience.
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In the beginning, I would like to describe my current position and the goal that I would like to achieve.
I am a researcher dealing with machine learning. So far have gone through several theoretical courses covering machine learning algorithms and social network analysis and therefore have gained some theoretical concepts useful for implementing machine learning algorithms and feed in the real data.
On simple examples, the algorithms work well and the running time is acceptable whereas the big data represent a problem if trying to run algorithms on my PC. Regarding the software I have enough experience to implement whatever algorithm from articles or design my own using whatever language or IDE (so far have used Matlab, Java with Eclipse, .NET...) but so far haven't got much experience with setting-up infrastructure. I have started to learn about Hadoop, NoSQL databases, etc, but I am not sure what strategy would be the best taking into consideration the learning time constraints.
The final goal is to be able to set-up a working platform for analyzing big data with focusing on implementing my own machine learning algorithms and put all together into production, ready for solving useful question by processing big data.
As the main focus is on implementing machine learning algorithms I would like to ask whether there is any existing running platform, offering enough CPU resources to feed in large data, upload own algorithms and simply process the data without thinking about distributed processing.
Nevertheless, such a platform exists or not, I would like to gain a picture big enough to be able to work in a team that could put into production the whole system tailored upon the specific customer demands. For example, a retailer would like to analyze daily purchases so all the daily records have to be uploaded to some infrastructure, capable enough to process the data by using custom machine learning algorithms.
To put all the above into simple question: How to design a custom data mining solution for real-life problems with main focus on machine learning algorithms and put it into production, if possible, by using the existing infrastructure and if not, design distributed system (by using Hadoop or whatever framework).
I would be very thankful for any advice or suggestions about books or other helpful resources.
First of all, your question needs to define more clearly what you intend by Big Data.
Indeed, Big Data is a buzzword that may refer to various size of problems. I tend to define Big Data as the category of problems where the Data size or the Computation time is big enough for "the hardware abstractions to become broken", which means that a single commodity machine cannot perform the computations without intensive care of computations and memory.
The scale threshold beyond which data become Big Data is therefore unclear and is sensitive to your implementation. Is your algorithm bounded by Hard-Drive bandwidth ? Does it have to feet into memory ? Did you try to avoid unnecessary quadratic costs ? Did you make any effort to improve cache efficiency, etc.
From several years of experience in running medium large-scale machine learning challenge (on up to 250 hundreds commodity machine), I strongly believe that many problems that seem to require distributed infrastructure can actually be run on a single commodity machine if the problem is expressed correctly. For example, you are mentioning large scale data for retailers. I have been working on this exact subject for several years, and I often managed to make all the computations run on a single machine, provided a bit of optimisation. My company has been working on simple custom data format that allows one year of all the data from a very large retailer to be stored within 50GB, which means a single commodity hard-drive could hold 20 years of history. You can have a look for example at : https://github.com/Lokad/lokad-receiptstream
From my experience, it is worth spending time in trying to optimize algorithm and memory so that you could avoid to resort to distributed architecture. Indeed, distributed architectures come with a triple cost. First of all, the strong knowledge requirements. Secondly, it comes with a large complexity overhead in the code. Finally, distributed architectures come with a significant latency overhead (with the exception of local multi-threaded distribution).
From a practitioner point of view, being able to perform a given data mining or machine learning algorithm in 30 seconds is one the key factor to efficiency. I have noticed than when some computations, whether sequential or distributed, take 10 minutes, my focus and efficiency tend to drop quickly as it becomes much more complicated to iterate quickly and quickly test new ideas. The latency overhead introduced by many of the distributed frameworks is such that you will inevitably be in this low-efficiency scenario.
If the scale of the problem is such that even with strong effort you cannot perform it on a single machine, then I strongly suggest to resort to on-shelf distributed frameworks instead of building your own. One of the most well known framework is the MapReduce abstraction, available through Apache Hadoop. Hadoop can be run on 10 thousands nodes cluster, probably much more than you will ever need. If you do not own the hardware, you can "rent" the use of a Hadoop cluster, for example through Amazon MapReduce.
Unfortunately, the MapReduce abstraction is not suited to all Machine Learning computations.
As far as Machine Learning is concerned, MapReduce is a rigid framework and numerous cases have proved to be difficult or inefficient to adapt to this framework:
– The MapReduce framework is in itself related to functional programming. The
Map procedure is applied to each data chunk independently. Therefore, the
MapReduce framework is not suited to algorithms where the application of the
Map procedure to some data chunks need the results of the same procedure to
other data chunks as a prerequisite. In other words, the MapReduce framework
is not suited when the computations between the different pieces of data are
not independent and impose a specific chronology.
– MapReduce is designed to provide a single execution of the map and of the
reduce steps and does not directly provide iterative calls. It is therefore not
directly suited for the numerous machine-learning problems implying iterative
processing (Expectation-Maximisation (EM), Belief Propagation, etc.). The
implementation of these algorithms in a MapReduce framework means the
user has to engineer a solution that organizes results retrieval and scheduling
of the multiple iterations so that each map iteration is launched after the reduce
phase of the previous iteration is completed and so each map iteration is fed
with results provided by the reduce phase of the previous iteration.
– Most MapReduce implementations have been designed to address production needs and
robustness. As a result, the primary concern of the framework is to handle
hardware failures and to guarantee the computation results. The MapReduce efficiency
is therefore partly lowered by these reliability constraints. For example, the
serialization on hard-disks of computation results turns out to be rather costly
in some cases.
– MapReduce is not suited to asynchronous algorithms.
The questioning of the MapReduce framework has led to richer distributed frameworks where more control and freedom are left to the framework user, at the price of more complexity for this user. Among these frameworks, GraphLab and Dryad (both based on Direct Acyclic Graphs of computations) are well-known.
As a consequence, there is no "One size fits all" framework, such as there is no "One size fits all" data storage solution.
To start with Hadoop, you can have a look at the book Hadoop: The Definitive Guide by Tom White
If you are interested in how large-scale frameworks fit into Machine Learning requirements, you may be interested by the second chapter (in English) of my PhD, available here: http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/74/47/68/ANNEX/texfiles/PhD%20Main/PhD.pdf
If you provide more insight about the specific challenge you want to deal with (type of algorithm, size of the data, time and money constraints, etc.), we probably could provide you a more specific answer.
edit : another reference that could prove to be of interest : Scaling-up Machine Learning
I had to implement a couple of Data Mining algorithms to work with BigData too, and I ended up using Hadoop.
I don't know if you are familiar to Mahout (http://mahout.apache.org/), which already has several algorithms ready to use with Hadoop.
Nevertheless, if you want to implement your own Algorithm, you can still adapt it to Hadoop's MapReduce paradigm and get good results. This is an excellent book on how to adapt Artificial Intelligence algorithms to MapReduce:
Mining of Massive Datasets - http://infolab.stanford.edu/~ullman/mmds.html
This seems to be an old question. However given your usecase, the main frameworks focusing on Machine Learning in Big Data domain are Mahout, Spark (MLlib), H2O etc. However to run Machine Learning algorithms on Big Data you have to convert them to parallel programs based on Map Reduce paradigm. This is a nice article giving a brief introduction to major (not all) big Data frameworks:
http://www.codophile.com/big-data-frameworks-every-programmer-should-know/
I hope this will help.
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What is machine learning ?
What does machine learning code do ?
When we say that the machine learns, does it modify the code of itself or it modifies history (database) which will contain the experience of code for given set of inputs?
What is a machine learning ?
Essentially, it is a method of teaching computers to make and improve predictions or behaviors based on some data. What is this "data"? Well, that depends entirely on the problem. It could be readings from a robot's sensors as it learns to walk, or the correct output of a program for certain input.
Another way to think about machine learning is that it is "pattern recognition" - the act of teaching a program to react to or recognize patterns.
What does machine learning code do ?
Depends on the type of machine learning you're talking about. Machine learning is a huge field, with hundreds of different algorithms for solving myriad different problems - see Wikipedia for more information; specifically, look under Algorithm Types.
When we say machine learns, does it modify the code of itself or it modifies history (Data Base) which will contain the experience of code for given set of inputs ?
Once again, it depends.
One example of code actually being modified is Genetic Programming, where you essentially evolve a program to complete a task (of course, the program doesn't modify itself - but it does modify another computer program).
Neural networks, on the other hand, modify their parameters automatically in response to prepared stimuli and expected response. This allows them to produce many behaviors (theoretically, they can produce any behavior because they can approximate any function to an arbitrary precision, given enough time).
I should note that your use of the term "database" implies that machine learning algorithms work by "remembering" information, events, or experiences. This is not necessarily (or even often!) the case.
Neural networks, which I already mentioned, only keep the current "state" of the approximation, which is updated as learning occurs. Rather than remembering what happened and how to react to it, neural networks build a sort of "model" of their "world." The model tells them how to react to certain inputs, even if the inputs are something that it has never seen before.
This last ability - the ability to react to inputs that have never been seen before - is one of the core tenets of many machine learning algorithms. Imagine trying to teach a computer driver to navigate highways in traffic. Using your "database" metaphor, you would have to teach the computer exactly what to do in millions of possible situations. An effective machine learning algorithm would (hopefully!) be able to learn similarities between different states and react to them similarly.
The similarities between states can be anything - even things we might think of as "mundane" can really trip up a computer! For example, let's say that the computer driver learned that when a car in front of it slowed down, it had to slow down to. For a human, replacing the car with a motorcycle doesn't change anything - we recognize that the motorcycle is also a vehicle. For a machine learning algorithm, this can actually be surprisingly difficult! A database would have to store information separately about the case where a car is in front and where a motorcycle is in front. A machine learning algorithm, on the other hand, would "learn" from the car example and be able to generalize to the motorcycle example automatically.
Machine learning is a field of computer science, probability theory, and optimization theory which allows complex tasks to be solved for which a logical/procedural approach would not be possible or feasible.
There are several different categories of machine learning, including (but not limited to):
Supervised learning
Reinforcement learning
Supervised Learning
In supervised learning, you have some really complex function (mapping) from inputs to outputs, you have lots of examples of input/output pairs, but you don't know what that complicated function is. A supervised learning algorithm makes it possible, given a large data set of input/output pairs, to predict the output value for some new input value that you may not have seen before. The basic method is that you break the data set down into a training set and a test set. You have some model with an associated error function which you try to minimize over the training set, and then you make sure that your solution works on the test set. Once you have repeated this with different machine learning algorithms and/or parameters until the model performs reasonably well on the test set, then you can attempt to use the result on new inputs. Note that in this case, the program does not change, only the model (data) is changed. Although one could, theoretically, output a different program, but that is not done in practice, as far as I am aware. An example of supervised learning would be the digit recognition system used by the post office, where it maps the pixels to labels in the set 0...9, using a large set of pictures of digits that were labeled by hand as being in 0...9.
Reinforcement Learning
In reinforcement learning, the program is responsible for making decisions, and it periodically receives some sort of award/utility for its actions. However, unlike in the supervised learning case, the results are not immediate; the algorithm could prescribe a large sequence of actions and only receive feedback at the very end. In reinforcement learning, the goal is to build up a good model such that the algorithm will generate the sequence of decisions that lead to the highest long term utility/reward. A good example of reinforcement learning is teaching a robot how to navigate by giving a negative penalty whenever its bump sensor detects that it has bumped into an object. If coded correctly, it is possible for the robot to eventually correlate its range finder sensor data with its bumper sensor data and the directions that sends to the wheels, and ultimately choose a form of navigation that results in it not bumping into objects.
More Info
If you are interested in learning more, I strongly recommend that you read Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning by Christopher M. Bishop or take a machine learning course. You may also be interested in reading, for free, the lecture notes from CIS 520: Machine Learning at Penn.
Machine learning is a scientific discipline that is concerned with the design and development of algorithms that allow computers to evolve behaviors based on empirical data, such as from sensor data or databases. Read more on Wikipedia
Machine learning code records "facts" or approximations in some sort of storage, and with the algorithms calculates different probabilities.
The code itself will not be modified when a machine learns, only the database of what "it knows".
Machine learning is a methodology to create a model based on sample data and use the model to make a prediction or strategy. It belongs to artificial intelligence.
Machine learning is simply a generic term to define a variety of learning algorithms that produce a quasi learning from examples (unlabeled/labeled). The actual accuracy/error is entirely determined by the quality of training/test data you provide to your learning algorithm. This can be measured using a convergence rate. The reason you provide examples is because you want the learning algorithm of your choice to be able to informatively by guidance make generalization. The algorithms can be classed into two main areas supervised learning(classification) and unsupervised learning(clustering) techniques. It is extremely important that you make an informed decision on how you plan on separating your training and test data sets as well as the quality that you provide to your learning algorithm. When you providing data sets you want to also be aware of things like over fitting and maintaining a sense of healthy bias in your examples. The algorithm then basically learns wrote to wrote on the basis of generalization it achieves from the data you have provided to it both for training and then for testing in process you try to get your learning algorithm to produce new examples on basis of your targeted training. In clustering there is very little informative guidance the algorithm basically tries to produce through measures of patterns between data to build related sets of clusters e.g kmeans/knearest neighbor.
some good books:
Introduction to ML (Nilsson/Stanford),
Gaussian Process for ML,
Introduction to ML (Alpaydin),
Information Theory Inference and Learning Algorithms (very useful book),
Machine Learning (Mitchell),
Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (standard ML course book at Edinburgh and various Unis but relatively a heavy reading with math),
Data Mining and Practical Machine Learning with Weka (work through the theory using weka and practice in Java)
Reinforcement Learning there is a free book online you can read:
http://www.cs.ualberta.ca/~sutton/book/ebook/the-book.html
IR, IE, Recommenders, and Text/Data/Web Mining in general use alot of Machine Learning principles. You can even apply Metaheuristic/Global Optimization Techniques here to further automate your learning processes. e.g apply an evolutionary technique like GA (genetic algorithm) to optimize your neural network based approach (which may use some learning algorithm). You can approach it purely in form of a probablistic machine learning approach for example bayesian learning. Most of these algorithms all have a very heavy use of statistics. Concepts of convergence and generalization are important to many of these learning algorithms.
Machine learning is the study in computing science of making algorithms that are able to classify information they haven't seen before, by learning patterns from training on similar information. There are all sorts of kinds of "learners" in this sense. Neural networks, Bayesian networks, decision trees, k-clustering algorithms, hidden markov models and support vector machines are examples.
Based on the learner, they each learn in different ways. Some learners produce human-understandable frameworks (e.g. decision trees), and some are generally inscrutable (e.g. neural networks).
Learners are all essentially data-driven, meaning they save their state as data to be reused later. They aren't self-modifying as such, at least in general.
I think one of the coolest definitions of machine learning that I've read is from this book by Tom Mitchell. Easy to remember and intuitive.
A computer program is said to learn from experience E with respect to some class of tasks T and performance measure P, if its performance at tasks in T, as measured by P, improves with experience E
Shamelessly ripped from Wikipedia: Machine learning is a scientific discipline that is concerned with the design and development of algorithms that allow computers to evolve behaviors based on empirical data, such as from sensor data or databases.
Quite simply, machine learning code accomplishes a machine learning task. That can be a number of things from interpreting sensor data to a genetic algorithm.
I would say it depends. No, modifying code is not normal, but is not outside the realm of possibility. I would also not say that machine learning always modifies a history. Sometimes we have no history to build off of. Sometime we simply want to react to the environment, but not actually learn from our past experiences.
Basically, machine learning is a very wide-open discipline that contains many methods and algorithms that make it impossible for there to be 1 answer to your 3rd question.
Machine learning is a term that is taken from the real world of a person, and applied on something that can't actually learn - a machine.
To add to the other answers - machine learning will not (usually) change the code, but it might change it's execution path and decision based on previous data or new gathered data and hence the "learning" effect.
there are many ways to "teach" a machine - you give weights to many parameter of an algorithm, and then have the machine solve it for many cases, each time you give her a feedback about the answer and the machine adjusts the weights according to how close the machine answer was to your answer or according to the score you gave it's answer, or according to some results test algorithm.
This is one way of learning and there are many more...
This question does not have a single "right" answer.
I'm interested in running Map Reduce algorithms, on a cluster, on Terabytes of data.
I want to learn more about the running time of said algorithms.
What books should I read?
I'm not interested in setting up Map Reduce clusters, or running standard algorithms. I want rigorous theoretical treatments or running time.
EDIT: The issue is not that map reduce changes running time. The issue is -- most algorithms do not distribute well to map reduce frameworks. I'm interested in algorithms that run on the map reduce framework.
Technically, there's no real different in the runtime analysis of MapReduce in comparison to "standard" algorithms - MapReduce is still an algorithm just like any other (or specifically, a class of algorithms that occur in multiple steps, with a certain interaction between those steps).
The runtime of a MapReduce job is still going to scale how normal algorithmic analysis would predict, when you factor in division of tasks across multiple machines and then find the maximum individual machine time required for each step.
That is, if you have a task which requires M map operations, and R reduce operations, running on N machines, and you expect that the average map operation will take m time and the average reduce operation r time, then you'll have an expected runtime of ceil(M/N)*m + ceil(R/N)*r time to complete all of the tasks in question.
Prediction of the values for M,R,m, and r are all something that can be accomplished with normal analysis of whatever algorithm you're plugging into MapReduce.
There are only two books that i know of that are published, but there are more in the works:
Pro hadoop and Hadoop: The Definitive Guide
Of these, Pro Hadoop is more of a beginners book, whilst The Definitive Guide is for those that know what Hadoop actually is.
I own The Definitive Guide and think its an excellent book. It provides good technical details on how the HDFS works, as well as covering a range of related topics such as MapReduce, Pig, Hive, HBase etc. It should also be noted that this book was written by Tom White who has been involved with the development of Hadoop for a good while, and now works at cloudera.
As far as the analysis of algorithms goes on Hadoop you could take a look at the TeraByte sort benchmarks. Yahoo have done a write up of how Hadoop performs for this particular benchmark: TeraByte Sort on Apache Hadoop. This paper was written in 2008.
More details about the 2009 results can be found here.
There is a great book about Data Mining algorithms applied to the MapReduce model.
It was written by two Stanford Professors and it if available for free:
http://infolab.stanford.edu/~ullman/mmds.html